加密貨幣市場最新走勢分析及預測




價格預測 11/3: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, ADA, HYPE

比特幣和其他山寨幣在11月初的表現與10月相似,市場忽視歷史數據,並跌至新低。牛市會對低位買入表現出興趣嗎?

價格分析

**關鍵點:**

* 比特幣若在107,000美元支撐位下方收盤,將完成雙頂反轉形態。
* 幾個山寨幣已跌破其即時支撐位,為進一步下跌鋪平道路。

在10月的糟糕表現後,比特幣未能改變方向。BTC在新月份開始時跌至107,000美元的關鍵支撐位,顯示出空頭試圖掌控市場的跡象。

根據Farside Investors的數據,機構投資者的需求減少,上周比特幣交易所交易基金出現7.99億美元的淨流出。Capriole Investments的創始人Charles Edwards在X上發文指出,機構購買已經低於每日開採供應,這是七個月以來的首次,這並不是一個好兆頭。

對於牛市來說,唯一的好消息是,比特幣在11月的平均增長率為42.34%。然而,交易者不應僅依賴這一歷史數據,因為自2018年以來,比特幣在四次11月的收盤中都是下跌的,這表明市場可能會出現波動。

那麼,比特幣會延續下跌,拖累山寨幣嗎?讓我們分析前十名加密貨幣的圖表來找出答案。

S&P 500指數價格預測

S&P 500指數(SPX)仍然在上升趨勢中,但相對強弱指數(RSI)上的負背離表明,牛市動能可能正在減弱。

賣方需要將價格拉低至50日簡單移動平均線(6,647)以下,以顯示出力量。如果他們能做到這一點,指數可能會開始向6,550和6,400進行更深的修正。

買方可能有其他計劃。他們將試圖捍衛20日指數移動平均線(6,764)並將指數推高至6,920以上。如果成功,指數可能會上漲至7,000點。

美元指數價格預測

美元指數(DXY)在周三從20日EMA(98.92)反彈,顯示出正面情緒。

該指數可能會上漲至100.50,預計空頭會在此進行強力防守。如果買方不允許價格跌破20日EMA,則上漲至102的可能性將增加。

第一個疲弱的跡象將是跌破並收盤在20日EMA以下,這表明空頭在高位活躍。指數可能會下跌至50日SMA(98.24)。

比特幣價格預測

比特幣在周一從20日EMA(110,837美元)急劇下跌,隨後跌破107,000美元的支撐位。

若收盤在107,000美元以下,將完成雙頂形態,顯示出修正階段的開始。BTC/USDT交易對可能會下跌至心理關鍵位100,000美元。買方預計會全力捍衛100,000美元的支撐,因為若跌破,可能會標誌著新一輪下跌的開始。

牛市需要將價格推高至移動平均線以上,以表明空頭正在失去控制。若比特幣價格突破118,000美元,上行動能可能會加速。

以太坊價格預測

以太坊在周一從20日EMA(3,937美元)回落,並突破下降通道形態的支撐線。

下滑的移動平均線和RSI低於37表明空頭佔優勢。如果價格在支撐線下方收盤,ETH/USDT交易對可能會下跌至3,435至3,350美元的支撐區域。

如果以太坊價格從當前水平急劇上升並突破移動平均線,則表明市場拒絕了跌破通道的情況。此時,該交易對可能會上漲至通道的阻力線。

XRP價格預測

買方試圖將XRP推高至20日EMA(2.52美元)以上,但賣方堅守陣地。

空頭將試圖將XRP/USDT交易對拉至2.20美元,這是一個關鍵的短期水平。如果2.20美元的支撐位被突破,XRP價格可能會下跌至2美元,然後是1.80美元。

任何反彈的嘗試預計會在20日EMA和50日SMA(2.69美元)處遭遇賣壓。牛市需要將價格推高至下行趨勢線以上,以顯示潛在的趨勢變化。

BNB價格預測

BNB在周日收盤低於50日SMA(1,092美元),並在周一銷售加劇。

移動平均線即將完成看跌交叉,RSI處於負區域,顯示出空頭掌控市場。1,021美元的支撐位已經破裂,為下跌至932美元,最終到達10月10日的860美元低點鋪平了道路。這表明BNB/USDT交易對可能在短期內見頂。

牛市的時間不多了。他們必須迅速將BNB價格推回至20日EMA以上,以顯示出力量。

索拉納價格預測

索拉納在周一下跌並突破對稱三角形模式的上升趨勢線,顯示出不確定性已經向空頭傾斜。

SOL/USDT交易對可能會跌至155美元的強支撐位。若從155美元反彈,則可能在20日EMA(190美元)處遭遇賣壓。如果發生這種情況,索拉納價格有可能下跌至137美元。

相反,如果價格從當前水平或155美元上升,則表明在低位有需求。牛市將試圖將價格推高至20日EMA以上。如果成功,該交易對可能會上漲至阻力線。

狗狗幣價格預測

狗狗幣在過去幾天內仍然困在0.14美元和0.29美元之間的大範圍內。

DOGE/USDT交易對可能會下跌至0.14美元的堅實支撐位,預計會吸引買方。如果價格從0.14美元的支撐位反彈並上升至移動平均線以上,則表明範圍內的行動可能會持續一段時間。

賣方可能會有其他計劃。他們將試圖將狗狗幣價格壓低至0.14美元的支撐位以下,並恢復下跌趨勢。如果他們能做到,該交易對可能會下跌至0.10美元。

卡爾達諾價格預測

買方試圖將卡爾達諾維持在0.59美元以上,但空頭在周一重新開始賣出。

空頭將試圖將ADA/USDT交易對拉至關鍵支撐位0.50美元。買方預計會全力捍衛0.50美元的支撐,因為若跌破,將為下跌至0.40美元鋪平道路。

牛市需要將卡爾達諾價格推高至20日EMA(0.64美元)以上,以增強力量。該交易對然後可能會上漲至0.75美元的突破水平,預計空頭會在此出現。

Hyperliquid價格預測

Hyperliquid(HYPE)在周日跌破20日EMA(42.73美元),顯示出空頭持續施壓。

HYPE/USDT交易對已跌至頸線,可能會進一步下跌至35.50美元的堅實支撐位。買方預計會積極保護35.50美元的支撐,因為若跌破,可能會加速賣出。Hyperliquid價格可能會隨後崩潰至30.50美元,然後是28美元。

相反,如果價格從35.50美元的水平急劇上升並突破20日EMA,則表明在低位有需求。該交易對可能會在35.50美元和52美元之間波動幾天。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。

評論

在當前的加密貨幣市場中,投資者面臨著極大的不確定性。比特幣和其他主要加密貨幣的價格波動不僅反映了市場的情緒,還受到宏觀經濟因素的影響,如美國的貨幣政策和機構投資者的行為。值得注意的是,儘管歷史上11月的表現通常較好,但今年的市場情況顯示出潛在的下行風險。

此外,對於山寨幣而言,許多幣種已經跌破了關鍵支撐位,這可能會加劇市場的恐慌情緒。投資者應該密切關注市場動態,並根據最新的技術分析調整自己的投資策略。這不僅是一個短期的價格波動問題,更是對整個加密貨幣生態系統健康狀況的考驗。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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"intro": "Create an ultra realistic 8K UHD DSLR photo based on the attached image as a reference of facial features, maintaining 100% likeness.",

"subject": {
"identity": "A stylish beautiful woman portrayed as Cleopatra, the eternal Queen of Egypt, exuding power, seduction, and divine authority.",
"angle": "Full-body editorial portrait captured at a refined 3/4 angle, with both the subject and her throne positioned diagonally, rendered in ultra-crisp clarity with no blur.",
"pose": {
"body_position": "She is seated regally on a luxurious Egyptian throne angled slightly to the side, her torso and legs elegantly turned to match the diagonal composition, enhancing her curves and royal poise.",
"hands": "One arm rests gracefully along the angled armrest of the throne, while the other cradles a magnificent royal cat against her body.",
"expression": "She looks directly into the camera with a composed, intelligent, and seductive gaze—calm authority mixed with magnetic allure."
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"appearance": {
"outfit": "An exceptionally bongga, sexy, and ultra-colorful Cleopatra couture gown designed as a high-fashion masterpiece. The gown features a sculpted corset bodice encrusted with multicolored gemstones—turquoise, lapis blue, emerald green, ruby red, amethyst violet, and molten gold—arranged in intricate Egyptian patterns. The fabric transitions into layered sheer silks in jewel tones that cascade dramatically, creating movement and depth. A daring thigh-high slit reveals her leg, while illusion panels and crystal embroidery contour her waist and hips. The gown shimmers with every hue, bold yet luxurious, sensual yet undeniably royal.",
"accessories": "A dramatic Egyptian crown with raised cobra centerpiece and iridescent gemstone inlays, oversized multi-layered gold collar necklace, engraved arm cuffs, crystal-encrusted finger rings, an ornate gold waist belt, anklets with delicate charms, and elegant flat Egyptian sandals.",
"hair": "Her hair is shoulder-length, sleek, and glossy with soft movement, modernized yet inspired by ancient Egyptian elegance, no bangs.",
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"background": {
"macro_environment": "A grand royal palace courtyard in ancient Egypt at golden hour, composed diagonally to echo the angled throne, with towering sandstone columns, carved relief walls, and distant pyramids beneath a richly colored desert sky.",
"midground_details": "Palm trees gently swaying, monumental statues of Bastet and other Egyptian deities, ceremonial fire torches, flowing silk banners in jewel tones, and distant palace attendants positioned subtly for scale.",
"micro_elements": "Ultra-sharp hieroglyph carvings, visible stone grain and chisel marks, fine desert sand particles, radiant gemstone reflections, metallic gold highlights, intricate embroidery threads, and realistic sun-cast shadows—every element sharply defined with zero blur."
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"shutter_speed": "1/200s",
"focus": "Extreme sharp focus from foreground to background, no bokeh, no blur"
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Lighting and Setting
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