比特幣的四年周期並未結束，預計下次市場下跌將跌70%：風險投資公司CEO
根據風險投資公司Sigma Capital的CEO Vineet Budki所言，對比特幣經濟特性的缺乏理解將導致市場在出現任何問題的第一時間出現拋售。他在阿聯酋杜拜舉行的全球區塊鏈大會2025上表示：
> “如果比特幣跌至70,000美元，它的實用性不會消失。問題在於人們並不知道它的實用性，當人們購買他們不理解的資產時，通常會首先拋售，這就是拋售壓力的來源。”
Budki預測，比特幣在未來兩年內將會回調65%至70%，因為交易者對他們所持有的資產缺乏理解。儘管如此，他仍然預測比特幣在未來十年內將達到100萬美元或更高的價格，並表示用戶的採納將來自於價格投機和更重要的實際使用案例。
分析師、行業高管和投資者們持續預測比特幣何時能夠達到七位數的價格，以及自2009年以來定義比特幣周期的市場動態在2025年是否仍然有效。
比特幣是否已經超越了四年周期？
市場分析師及BitMEX加密貨幣交易所的聯合創始人Arthur Hayes認為，「四年比特幣周期已經結束」。他指出，比特幣的價格受宏觀經濟因素的影響，如利率和貨幣供應的增長，與周期性模式的關係減弱。
其他分析師則指出，機構投資者的增長和這些金融機構的存在對市場形成了穩定的力量，減少了價格的波動性。根據BitcoinTreasuries.NET的數據，金融機構，包括政府、數字資產財政公司、交易所交易基金（ETFs）和加密貨幣交易所，總共持有超過400萬比特幣，幾乎佔比特幣總供應量的20%。
然而，加密友好銀行Xapo Bank的CEO Seamus Rocca告訴Cointelegraph，四年周期仍然在運行，因為投資者目前將比特幣視為風險資產，儘管它具有價值儲存的特性。
這篇文章引發了對比特幣未來走勢的深思。Budki的觀點強調了市場心理對價格波動的重要性，尤其是在投資者對資產缺乏深入理解的情況下，這種情況可能導致市場的劇烈反應。隨著比特幣的普及和應用場景的增加，投資者的教育和理解將成為未來市場穩定的關鍵因素。這也提醒我們，在投資加密貨幣時，除了關注價格走勢外，更應該重視對其基本面和實際應用的理解。
以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。
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![{
"intro": "Create an ultra realistic 8K UHD DSLR photo based on the attached image as a reference of facial features, maintaining 100% likeness.",
"subject": {
"identity": "A stylish beautiful woman portrayed as Cleopatra during her sacred milk bath beauty ritual, embodying divine femininity, sensual elegance, and timeless power.",
"angle": "Close-up beauty editorial captured at a refined 3/4 angle, focusing on her face, shoulders, and upper chest with extreme clarity and no blur.",
"pose": {
"body_position": "She is partially submerged in a luxurious milk bath, her shoulders and collarbones emerging gracefully from the surface.",
"hands": "One hand gently rests at the edge of the bath with milk droplets on her fingers, while the other lightly touches her neck adorned with subtle gold jewelry.",
"expression": "Soft yet commanding gaze directed toward the camera—calm, confident, intimate, and hypnotic."
}
},
"appearance": {
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"accessories": "Minimal ritual jewelry—thin gold collar necklace resting above the milk surface, delicate arm cuff, subtle finger ring—kept refined to maintain focus on beauty and skin.",
"hair": "Her hair is sleek and ritual-polished, partially damp and slicked back at the crown, with soft wet strands framing her face naturally, reflecting candlelight.",
"makeup": "High-fashion Cleopatra beauty makeup with ceremonial artistry—perfectly sculpted brows, elongated black kohl eyeliner, vibrant eyeshadow layered in turquoise, teal, emerald, sapphire blue, and metallic gold. Beneath the eyes, subtle artistic ink-inspired accents echo ancient Egyptian symbolism. Her skin is luminous and dewy, cheeks softly flushed, and lips finished in a nude-rose satin sheen."
},
"ritual_props": {
"bath": "A carved alabaster bathtub filled with warm milk infused with honey, almond oil, and lotus essence.",
"floating_elements": [
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"Soft white rose petals",
"Delicate gold flakes shimmering on the milk surface"
],
"beauty_products": [
"Small golden perfume vial with lotus and myrrh oil",
"Alabaster bowl of honey and milk mixture",
"Clay jar of mineral kohl and pigment powders"
]
},
"background": {
"macro_environment": "An intimate royal bathing chamber within Cleopatra’s palace, designed as a sacred beauty sanctuary.",
"midground_details": "Soft linen curtains, glowing oil lamps, tall candles, and subtle steam rising from the bath, creating a warm and sensual atmosphere.",
"micro_elements": "Milk ripples around her skin, floating petals touching her shoulders, tiny droplets of moisture on her collarbones, reflections of candle flames on gold jewelry, visible stone texture on the tub, and delicate fabric translucency—every detail sharply rendered with zero blur."
},
"lighting": {
"type": "Warm cinematic candlelight combined with soft ambient palace glow.",
"effect": "Golden highlights sculpt her face and skin while gentle shadows enhance depth, intimacy, and divine beauty."
},
"camera": {
"camera_type": "DSLR",
"resolution": "8K UHD",
"lens": "85mm prime lens for beauty editorial compression",
"aperture": "f/8 for maximum facial and detail sharpness",
"iso": 100,
"shutter_speed": "1/160s",
"focus": "Extreme sharp focus on facial features, skin texture, makeup details, and milk surface, no bokeh, no blur"
},
"style": "Luxury beauty editorial, sacred milk bath ritual, ancient Egyptian goddess realism, intimate yet powerful, ultra-detailed, luminous skin focus, cinematic elegance"
}](https://ssfuture.shop/wp-content/uploads/ai_gen_1766006026-300x167.png)
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