比特幣的四年循環並未消亡，預計下次市場下跌將跌幅達70%：風險投資家
根據風險投資公司Sigma Capital的首席執行官Vineet Budki的說法，比特幣的價格將繼續經歷周期性的繁榮和衰退，並在下次市場下跌時可能出現高達70%的回調。Budki在阿聯酋迪拜舉行的全球區塊鏈大會2025上表示，未來兩年內，比特幣的回調幅度將達到65%至70%，因為交易者對他們所持有的資產缺乏理解。他指出：
> “如果比特幣的價格跌至70,000美元，它的實用性不會消失。問題在於人們不知道它的實用性，當人們購買他們不理解的資產時，他們會首先出售，這就是賣壓的來源。”
儘管如此，Budki仍預測比特幣在未來十年內將達到每枚100萬美元或更高的價格，並表示用戶採用將通過價格投機和更重要的實際使用案例的結合而增長。
分析師、行業高管和投資者繼續預測比特幣何時會達到七位數的價格，以及自2009年以來定義比特幣周期的市場動態在2025年是否仍然有效。
比特幣是否已經超越四年循環？
市場分析師及BitMEX加密貨幣交易所的聯合創始人Arthur Hayes表示，四年比特幣循環已經消亡。他認為，比特幣的價格受到宏觀經濟因素（如利率和貨幣供應增長）的影響，與周期性模式的關聯性減弱。
其他分析師則指出，機構採用的增加和這些金融機構的存在作為穩定力量，減少了價格波動並平息了市場。根據BitcoinTreasuries.NET的數據，金融機構，包括政府、數字資產財務公司、交易所交易基金（ETFs）和加密貨幣交易所，共同持有超過400萬枚比特幣，幾乎占比特幣總供應量的20%。
然而，加密友好銀行Xapo Bank的首席執行官Seamus Rocca告訴Cointelegraph，四年循環仍然存在，因為儘管比特幣具有價值儲存的特性，投資者目前仍將其視為風險資產。
在這個充滿不確定性的市場中，Budki的觀點提醒我們，對比特幣的理解和認識至關重要。許多投資者在市場波動時容易受到恐慌情緒的影響，這導致了不必要的賣壓。隨著比特幣的普及和實際應用的增長，未來的投資者需要更加重視對其基本面和潛在用途的理解，而不僅僅是價格波動。這樣的思維轉變可能會幫助市場更健康地發展，減少因恐慌而引發的劇烈波動。
以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。
🎨 Nano Banana Pro 圖像生成器｜打幾句說話就出圖
想畫人像、產品圖、插畫？SSFuture 圖像生成器支援 Flux 同 Gemini Nano Banana Pro 改圖 / 合成， 打廣東話都得，仲可以沿用上一張圖繼續微調。
![{
"intro": "Create an ultra realistic 8K UHD DSLR photo based on the attached image as a reference of facial features, maintaining 100% likeness.",
"subject": {
"identity": "A stylish beautiful woman portrayed as Cleopatra during her sacred milk bath beauty ritual, embodying divine femininity, sensual elegance, and timeless power.",
"angle": "Close-up beauty editorial captured at a refined 3/4 angle, focusing on her face, shoulders, and upper chest with extreme clarity and no blur.",
"pose": {
"body_position": "She is partially submerged in a luxurious milk bath, her shoulders and collarbones emerging gracefully from the surface.",
"hands": "One hand gently rests at the edge of the bath with milk droplets on her fingers, while the other lightly touches her neck adorned with subtle gold jewelry.",
"expression": "Soft yet commanding gaze directed toward the camera—calm, confident, intimate, and hypnotic."
}
},
"appearance": {
"outfit": "A barely-there, ritual-style ivory silk drape partially submerged in the milk bath, clinging softly to her skin. The fabric is delicate and translucent, edged with fine gold-thread embroidery for a sensual, sacred aesthetic.",
"accessories": "Minimal ritual jewelry—thin gold collar necklace resting above the milk surface, delicate arm cuff, subtle finger ring—kept refined to maintain focus on beauty and skin.",
"hair": "Her hair is sleek and ritual-polished, partially damp and slicked back at the crown, with soft wet strands framing her face naturally, reflecting candlelight.",
"makeup": "High-fashion Cleopatra beauty makeup with ceremonial artistry—perfectly sculpted brows, elongated black kohl eyeliner, vibrant eyeshadow layered in turquoise, teal, emerald, sapphire blue, and metallic gold. Beneath the eyes, subtle artistic ink-inspired accents echo ancient Egyptian symbolism. Her skin is luminous and dewy, cheeks softly flushed, and lips finished in a nude-rose satin sheen."
},
"ritual_props": {
"bath": "A carved alabaster bathtub filled with warm milk infused with honey, almond oil, and lotus essence.",
"floating_elements": [
"Fresh lotus flowers",
"Soft white rose petals",
"Delicate gold flakes shimmering on the milk surface"
],
"beauty_products": [
"Small golden perfume vial with lotus and myrrh oil",
"Alabaster bowl of honey and milk mixture",
"Clay jar of mineral kohl and pigment powders"
]
},
"background": {
"macro_environment": "An intimate royal bathing chamber within Cleopatra’s palace, designed as a sacred beauty sanctuary.",
"midground_details": "Soft linen curtains, glowing oil lamps, tall candles, and subtle steam rising from the bath, creating a warm and sensual atmosphere.",
"micro_elements": "Milk ripples around her skin, floating petals touching her shoulders, tiny droplets of moisture on her collarbones, reflections of candle flames on gold jewelry, visible stone texture on the tub, and delicate fabric translucency—every detail sharply rendered with zero blur."
},
"lighting": {
"type": "Warm cinematic candlelight combined with soft ambient palace glow.",
"effect": "Golden highlights sculpt her face and skin while gentle shadows enhance depth, intimacy, and divine beauty."
},
"camera": {
"camera_type": "DSLR",
"resolution": "8K UHD",
"lens": "85mm prime lens for beauty editorial compression",
"aperture": "f/8 for maximum facial and detail sharpness",
"iso": 100,
"shutter_speed": "1/160s",
"focus": "Extreme sharp focus on facial features, skin texture, makeup details, and milk surface, no bokeh, no blur"
},
"style": "Luxury beauty editorial, sacred milk bath ritual, ancient Egyptian goddess realism, intimate yet powerful, ultra-detailed, luminous skin focus, cinematic elegance"
}](https://ssfuture.shop/wp-content/uploads/ai_gen_1766006026-300x167.png)
