比特幣的四年周期並未死去，預計下一次下跌將會下滑70%：風險投資公司CEO
根據風險投資公司Sigma Capital的CEO Vineet Budki表示，比特幣的價格將繼續經歷周期性的繁榮與衰退，並預計在下一次市場下跌中，價格可能會下滑高達70%。他在阿聯酋杜拜舉行的全球區塊鏈大會2025上對Cointelegraph表示，因為交易者對他們所持有的資產缺乏理解，未來兩年內比特幣的回撤將達到65%至70%。Budki指出：
> “如果比特幣價格回落至70,000美元，它的實用性不會消失。問題在於，人們並不知道它的實用性，當人們購買他們不理解的資產時，他們會首先選擇出售，這就是賣壓的來源。”
儘管如此，Budki仍預測比特幣在未來十年內將達到每枚100萬美元或更高的價格，並表示用戶的採用將通過價格投機以及更重要的實際BTC用例的增長而增長。
分析師、行業高管和投資者仍在預測比特幣何時能達到七位數的價格，以及自2009年以來定義比特幣周期的市場動態在2025年是否仍然有效。
比特幣是否已經超越了四年周期？
根據BitMEX加密貨幣交易所的市場分析師及聯合創始人Arthur Hayes的說法，四年比特幣周期已經結束。他指出，比特幣的價格受到宏觀經濟因素（如利率和貨幣供應增長）的影響，與周期性模式的關係減弱。
其他分析師則指出，機構採用的增長以及這些金融機構的存在作為穩定力量，減少了價格波動並平息了市場。根據BitcoinTreasuries.NET的數據，金融機構，包括政府、數字資產財務公司、交易所交易基金（ETFs）和加密貨幣交易所，總共持有超過400萬枚比特幣，幾乎占比特幣總供應量的20%。
然而，加密友好銀行Xapo Bank的CEO Seamus Rocca告訴Cointelegraph，四年周期仍然存在，因為儘管比特幣具有價值儲存的特性，但投資者目前仍將其視為風險資產。
這篇報道提出了一個重要的觀點：比特幣的未來不僅取決於其價格波動，還取決於市場參與者的心理和理解。隨著越來越多的機構進入這一市場，傳統的周期性模式可能會被打破，但這也意味著市場的成熟和穩定性可能會隨之增強。未來的投資者需要更深入地理解比特幣的實際用途，而不僅僅是將其視為投機工具。這樣的轉變將有助於減少市場的波動性，並促進比特幣的長期增長。
以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。
🖼️ AI 圖庫｜抄咒語學玩法
想睇吓人哋點玩 AI 畫圖？圖庫集合大量 Flux / Gemini 作品， 可以一 click 複製咒語，直入生成器再改做自己版本。
![ultra-sharp close-up portrait of a woman [image uploaded] with soft, fair, luminous skin, natural rosy blush across her cheeks and nose. she has large, expressive brown eyes with subtle warm eyeshadow, soft eyeliner, and long defined lashes. her lips are glossy with a natural pink tint. her dark brown hair is styled in a voluminous messy updo with loose, wispy tendrils framing her face, creating a soft, youthful look. lighting is bright, warm, and natural, coming from the side window, casting gentle highlights on her skin and hair. she wears a red sleeveless top, layered delicate pearl necklaces, and a single visible red earring with gold detailing. background features a softly lit indoor space with curtains and a window showing blue sky, creating a fresh, airy mood. overall aesthetic is modern beauty photography with clean color tones, perfect skin texture, and high-end editorial styling. negative prompt: distorted face, unnatural freckles, incorrect hair texture, uneven lighting, heavy makeup, washed-out colors, low resolution, cluttered background, incorrect accessories, over-retouching, harsh shadows.](https://ssfuture.shop/wp-content/uploads/ai_gen_1766008395-300x201.png)
Gallery
![{
"image_generation_request": {
"prompt": "Ultra-realistic portrait of a man walking toward the camera on an airport runway at night He wears a white long-sleeve shirt with sleeves rolled up and dress pants, shoes. The camera is very close, capturing his face sharply - textures of skin, smoke from his lips, and subtle reflections of firelight in his eyes. Behind him, slightly out of focus, a commercial airplane is burning intensely, with huge flames, roaring firestorms, and thick black smoke rising high. The fiery glow casts dramatic orange highlights on his shirt and face, creating deep shadows and a gritty, cinematic mood. Wet runway reflects the blaze, enhancing the dramatic atmosphere.",
"dimensions": {
"width": 1200,
"height": 1200
},
"style_descriptors": [
"Cinematic",
"Photorealistic",
"Gritty",
"Dramatic Lighting",
"Macro Photography",
"8k resolution"
],
"subject_details": {
"action": "Walking toward camera, smoking",
"clothing": "White long-sleeve shirt (rolled sleeves), dress pants, shoes",
"facial_features": "Sharp focus, skin texture, firelight reflection in eyes"
},
"environment_details": {
"location": "Airport runway at night",
"background": "Commercial airplane burning, intense fire, thick black smoke, out of focus",
"ground": "Wet runway, reflecting fire"
}
}
}](https://ssfuture.shop/wp-content/uploads/ai_gen_1765251172-300x300.png)
Gallery
Gallery
