比特幣價格在116,000美元徘徊,市場焦點轉向美聯儲決策




比特幣「乒乓」價格行為將持續,直至美聯儲FOMC會議和美中貿易協議結束

比特幣在116,000美元遇到阻力,牛市可能要等到星期三美聯儲的利率公告及本週美中貿易戰的解決後,才能突破這個障礙。

**市場分析**

比特幣交易者能否突破116,000美元的價格阻力,可能取決於星期三美聯儲的利率決定以及本週的美中貿易峰會。

專業交易者在比特幣價格上漲時進行分散投資,而零售投資者則在現貨市場上買入低點,同時在期貨市場上被清算。

比特幣

比特幣價格:112,528美元

24小時變化:1.31%

市值:2.24萬億美元

24小時交易量:597.5億美元

比特幣的價格持續顯示出強勁,自10月10日的歷史性清算驅動拋售以來上漲了13%,但技術圖表顯示,需在116,000美元以上收盤,才能確認牛市趨勢的反轉。

來自TRDR的數據顯示,賣方限制了最近一次突破116,000美元的日內漲幅,而在幣安和Coinbase交易所的訂單簿數據顯示,116,000美元(Coinbase現貨)和117,000至118,000美元(幣安期貨)有另一道賣盤牆。

在下方的訂單簿圖表中可以看到,期貨交易者在116,000美元的阻力增加時,撤回了115,000至116,000美元的賣盤,而在過去12小時內,空頭清算達到4983萬美元。

雖然牛市仍在努力推動比特幣突破116,000美元,但數據中出現了一些積極的信號。全球交易所的未平倉合約已從10月11日的281.1億美元回升至314.8億美元,但仍遠低於比特幣交易124,600美元時的403.9億美元。

現貨比特幣ETF的資金流入也在上升,最近三個交易日的淨流入達到2.6023億美元,特別是在10月21日出現了477萬美元的顯著流入,這是在比特幣價格跌至108,000美元以下的幾天後。

來自Hyblock的數據顯示,較大訂單規模的投資者(100萬至1000萬美元)持續在價格上漲時賣出,而零售投資者(小訂單規模,1,000至10,000美元)則在低點買入。

目前,Hyblock的綜合訂單簿買賣比率(設置為10%深度)顯示出賣盤偏重,而真正的零售多頭和空頭賬戶指標顯示,幣安的空頭頭寸正在上升。

從日內交易的角度來看,一些投資者可能會在星期三的FOMC會議前減少風險敞口,因為美國聯邦儲備局將宣布其利率決定。

雖然預計美聯儲將下調基準利率25個基點,但交易者在公告前調整其頭寸已成為加密市場的常態。

期貨市場的活動可能顯示一些交易者預期期貨將風險降低,並隨之出現多頭流動性下降,或相反,增加空頭頭寸作為觸發清算的機會。

這種情況可以在下方的圖表中看到,112,000至113,000美元的槓桿多頭目前正在被清算。

儘管星期三的FOMC會議預計會產生積極結果,但一個潛在的風險事件是美國總統唐納德·特朗普與中國國家主席習近平的會議。如果談判出現問題,或者市場認為貿易協議對美國和全球市場不利,則可能會對股票和加密市場造成負面影響。

在本週的FOMC和美中貿易協議解決之前,比特幣價格似乎將繼續在116,000美元的阻力和110,000美元的支撐之間波動。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。

在當前的市場環境中,比特幣的價格波動顯示出市場對於即將到來的政策變化和國際貿易局勢的敏感性。這不僅反映了加密貨幣市場的脆弱性,也突顯了全球經濟互動的複雜性。隨著美聯儲的利率決策和美中貿易協議的結果即將揭曉,投資者的情緒將可能會受到顯著影響。這一切都提醒我們,市場動態不僅僅是技術分析的結果,更是宏觀經濟和政治因素的綜合體現。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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