S&P給Strategy評級B-,比特幣集中風險高




S&P對Strategy評級為B-,指責其比特幣集中度過高

S&P全球評級公司近日對Michael Saylor的Strategy公司給予了“B-”的信用評級,這一評級被認為屬於投機性、非投資級別的範疇,通常被稱為“垃圾債券”。儘管如此,該公司表示Strategy的前景仍然穩定。

S&P指出,Strategy的高比特幣集中度、狹窄的業務焦點、風險調整後的資本化弱以及低美金流動性都是其弱點。該評級平台在周一對Strategy的評估中表示:“我們認為Strategy的高比特幣集中度和狹窄的業務焦點是其主要的風險因素。”

Strategy主要通過股權和債務融資累積了640,808個比特幣的資產。穩定的前景假設該公司會謹慎管理可轉換債務的到期,並維持優先股的股息,可能通過額外的債務發行來實現。

S&P全球強調,Strategy面臨著“固有的貨幣不匹配”問題,因為所有債務均以美元計算,而其大部分美元儲備則用於資助其運營接近盈虧平衡的軟件業務。

Strategy與Sky Protocol評級相當

Strategy的評級與去中心化穩定幣發行商Sky Protocol(前身為MakerDAO)在八月份獲得的評級相同。S&P全球指出,Sky Protocol的高存款人集中度、集中治理和資本化弱也是其B-評級的原因。

要想擺脫“垃圾債券”區域,Strategy的評級需要提升六個級別,達到BBB-。這一評級的發布正值Strategy在2024年成為納斯達克表現最佳的股票之一,股價上漲了430%。不過,根據Google Finance的數據,該公司在2025年迄今已回落了13%。

儘管如此,周一Strategy的股價仍上漲了2.27%,這表明S&P全球的評級並未對公司股價造成負面影響。

Strategy需提高美金流動性,減少對債務的依賴

S&P全球表示,在未來12個月內升級的可能性不大,但如果Strategy能改善其美金流動性、減輕可轉換債務的壓力,並持續展現強大的資本市場進入能力,則有可能提高評級。

然而,S&P全球也警告,Strategy的可轉換債務可能在“比特幣壓力嚴重”的時期到期,迫使其以“低價”清算部分比特幣。若其資本市場的進入能力減弱,可能會進一步削弱其籌資能力,影響其比特幣策略的持續性。

這一評級的意義不僅在於為比特幣財庫公司設立了一個評估標準,也引發了對於比特幣及加密貨幣商業模式的更深入思考。隨著越來越多的企業將比特幣納入其資產負債表,如何在風險和收益之間尋找平衡,將成為未來企業財務管理的重要課題。

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