S&P評級Strategy為B-,比特幣專注引發警號




S&P對Strategy評級為B-,指其比特幣集中度過高

S&P全球評級機構對Michael Saylor的Strategy公司給予了「B-」的信用評級,這一評級將其置於投機性、非投資級別的範疇,通常被稱為「垃圾債券」。不過,該機構指出,該公司的前景仍然穩定。

S&P在周一的評估中表示:「我們認為Strategy的比特幣集中度高、業務焦點狹窄、風險調整後的資本化弱以及美元流動性低等因素是其弱點。」

Strategy主要通過股權和債務融資積累了640,808 BTC的資產。穩定的前景假設該公司能夠謹慎管理可轉換債務的到期日,並維持優先股的股息,這可能通過額外的債務發行來實現。

S&P全球指出,Strategy面臨「固有的貨幣不匹配」風險,因為所有債務均以美元計算,而其大部分美元儲備則用於資助其軟件業務,該業務的收益和現金流大約持平。

Strategy與Sky Protocol同級

Strategy的評級與去中心化穩定幣發行商Sky Protocol(前身為MakerDAO)在八月份的評級相同。

S&P全球指出Sky Protocol的高存款人集中度、集中治理和資本化薄弱,從而為其B-的評級提供了依據。

要想擺脫「垃圾債券」的境地,Strategy的評級需要提高六個級別,達到BBB-。

最新的評級出爐之際,Strategy在2024年是納斯達克表現最佳的股票之一,漲幅達430%。然而,根據Google Finance的數據,該公司在2025年迄今已回落了13%。這包括周一的2.27%上漲,顯示S&P全球的評級並未對該公司的股價造成負面影響。

Strategy需提高美元流動性,減少對債務的依賴

儘管S&P全球表示在未來12個月內升級的可能性不大,但如果Strategy改善其美元流動性、減少可轉換債務,並持續展現強大的資本市場進入能力,包括當比特幣回落時,則可能會提高評級。

然而,S&P全球也指出,Strategy的可轉換債務可能在「比特幣壓力嚴重」的時期到期,迫使其在「低迷價格」下清算部分比特幣。

如果其資本市場的進入能力減弱,Strategy的評級可能會進一步下降,影響其籌集資金和持續推進比特幣策略的能力。

這一評級的發布不僅是對Strategy的直接影響,也為其他以比特幣為核心的企業提供了一個參考標準,顯示傳統金融如何評估圍繞比特幣和加密貨幣的商業模式的信用風險。在這個快速變化的市場中,企業需要更加謹慎地管理其資本結構和流動性,以應對潛在的市場波動和風險。

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