XRP價格能否在11月突破$3?




如何預測XRP價格在十一月的走勢?

XRP可能會因為強勁的牛市信號而飆升至3美元,其中包括Evernorth的10億美元累積和交易所的供應短缺。

關鍵要點

* XRP的分形模式顯示十一月可能會上漲12%至18%。
* 鏈上數據顯示XRP的提取量創下歷史新高,提升其牛市機會。

XRP目前的價格為2.64美元,過去24小時變化為0.53%,市值達1575.3億美元,24小時交易量為40.2億美元。

儘管XRP在十月的表現不佳,至今已下滑超過7.5%,但自十月中旬的低點反彈了109%。這一反彈發生在多個利好消息的推動下,包括Evernorth的10億美元XRP庫存購買和Ripple在其收購Hidden Road時對XRP的正面提及。

這些基本面因素提升了XRP在十一月繼續反彈的潛力。但價格究竟能漲到什麼程度呢?讓我們來分析一下。

XRP在十一月的雙位數反彈

XRP最近的價格回升似乎與2025年上半年的一個熟悉的分形模式相呼應。在四月和六月,這種加密貨幣從其長期上升趨勢線支撐反彈,這一區域成為交易者的累積區。

四月的反彈推動XRP價格接近0.5至0.618的斐波那契回撤範圍,這一區域對應於3.20至3.40美元。隨後六月的反彈使價格上漲至斐波那契周期的高點附近約3.30美元,甚至超過此價位,創下約3.66美元的多年高點。

這一分形模式在十一月可能會重演,根據相對強弱指數(RSI)的中性信號,預示著XRP將首先向2.77美元移動,這一水平與0.382的斐波那契回撤和20日指數移動平均線相符。若能收盤在2.77美元以上,將可能引發類似於四月的牛市動能,目標指向0.5至0.618的斐波那契區間,約在2.75至3.00美元之間,這意味著潛在的12%至18%的反彈。

XRP見證創紀錄的交易所流出

根據Glassnode的數據,XRP在10月19日和20日的交易所淨位置變化下降了278萬,這是其歷史上最深的負值。這一急劇下降正好與Evernorth宣布其10億美元XRP庫存購買的消息相吻合。

截至周一,這家與Ripple相關的公司已經累積了超過3.8871億XRP,價值約10.2億美元。這樣的流出通常表明大型持有者正在強力累積,將代幣轉移至冷錢包,減少即時的賣壓。

這進一步強化了XRP反彈可能延伸至0.5至0.618的斐波那契範圍,接近2.70至3.00美元。

XRP的短期清算可能導致突破2.68美元

XRP最近的主要流動性集群位於約2.68美元,根據CoinGlass的數據,約有1591萬美元的槓桿頭寸面臨風險。這一區域代表著約3910萬美元的潛在短期清算,成為價格運動的一個關鍵吸引水平。這可能進一步導致短期擠壓,推動代幣向技術目標2.75至3.00美元上升。

這篇文章並不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決策時應進行自己的研究。

這篇文章對於XRP的未來走勢提供了深入的分析,並且強調了市場動態的影響。特別是Evernorth的10億美元購買行為,顯示出市場對XRP的信心正在增強。隨著大型持有者的累積,市場的供應緊張可能會進一步推高價格。這也提醒我們,市場中的大戶行為往往能夠引導價格走勢,投資者在進行交易時應該密切關注這些動態。

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