美股期貨靜止,CPI數據引關注

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美國股指期貨持平,聚焦CPI數據

美國股指期貨在週三晚間交易中變動不大,因投資者在關鍵的消費者通脹數據公佈前保持謹慎。這些數據可能會影響利率前景。

利率決策影響市場情緒
期貨在華爾街的積極交易日後趨於穩定,道指創下歷史新高,這是因為美聯儲9月份會議紀要顯示相當多的政策制定者支持50個基點的降息。但紀要也顯示,政策制定者對未來降息的速度並未做出具體承諾,這讓投資者對今年利率將下降多少仍感到不安。

標普500指數期貨在19:17 ET(23:17 GMT)時穩定在5,840.0點,納斯達克100指數期貨持平在20,457.25點,道指期貨持平在42,830.0點。

等待CPI數據提供更多利率線索
現在的焦點集中在週四公佈的消費者價格指數(CPI)數據上,以獲取更多關於通脹和利率的線索。預計這一數據將顯示CPI通脹的輕微下降,而不包括波動性較大的食品和能源價格的核心CPI預計將保持穩定。通脹的黏性讓美聯儲減少快速降息的動力。

上週公佈的強勁就業數據進一步支持了這一觀點,使得市場對11月再降50個基點的預期消退。根據CME FedWatch工具,交易員們預計11月有75.5%的機會降息25個基點,24.5%的機會保持不變。

經濟韌性支撐市場
儘管如此,勞動力市場的強勁和通脹的黏性表明美國經濟具有一定的韌性,減少了未來幾個月經濟衰退的可能性。這一觀點支持了華爾街的表現,經濟敏感型行業錄得強勁增長。

週三,標普500指數上漲0.7%,報5,792.04點,道瓊斯工業平均指數上漲1%,至42,512.0點,創下歷史收盤新高。納斯達克綜合指數上漲0.6%,至18,291.82點。

第三季度財報季即將開始
本週的焦點還在於第三季度財報季,一系列大型銀行將在週五公佈財報。摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase & Co)、富國銀行(Wells Fargo & Company)和紐約梅隆銀行(Bank of New York Mellon)將在週五公佈第三季度財報,而高盛集團(Goldman Sachs Group Inc)、美國銀行(Bank of America Corp)和花旗集團(Citigroup Inc)將在下週公佈財報。

強生(Johnson & Johnson)、聯合健康集團(Unitedhealth Group)和沃爾格林聯合博姿(Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc)的財報也將在下週初公佈。

編者評論:
這篇文章充分反映了美國股市在關鍵經濟數據公佈前的謹慎情緒,特別是在消費者價格指數(CPI)數據方面。這些數據將直接影響美聯儲的利率決策,進而影響市場的走勢。投資者應密切關注這些數據,因為它們將提供關於未來經濟走勢的重要線索。此外,第三季度財報季的到來也將為市場提供更多的基本面信息,特別是大型銀行和醫療保健公司的業績表現,這些行業的表現將對市場情緒產生重大影響。總的來說,投資者應該保持靈活,準備在數據公佈後迅速調整投資策略。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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