XRP 30% 開放興趣下降可能在 $2.50 以下開啟買入區域
XRP 價格面臨短期的賣壓，但其開放興趣的雙位數下降可能為新的積累機會鋪平道路。
**市場分析**
**主要觀察：**
* XRP 的開放興趣下降了 30%，顯示期貨活動減少。
* 如果賣壓持續，$2.33–$2.65 的公平價值區間是關鍵需求區。
* 鯨魚資金流入增加暗示獲利了結，但 XRP 的長期上升趨勢朝向 2025 年的 $5 仍然保持不變。
XRP 的開放興趣在過去一個月內下降了 30%，從 $110 億降至 $77 億，而價格則從高峰的 $3.66 回落。開放興趣的下降通常反映出投機活動的減少，這可能是獲利了結或是槓桿交易者信心減弱的信號。
類似的情況在第一季度發生過，當時 XRP 的開放興趣從 $85 億暴跌至 $30 億，下降幅度高達 65%，而現貨價格則下跌超過 50%。目前的情況雖然不如當時嚴重，但仍顯示出交易者可能在開放興趣找到新的基準範圍後開始積累。
技術上，XRP 在 $2.33 和 $2.65 之間存在一個日常公平價值區，這使得該範圍成為可能的需求區。如果開放興趣持續下降，這通常預示著價格穩定或新一輪積累階段的到來，歷史上這些時期提供了吸引人的重新進場點。
重要的是，平倉情況相對平穩。週一僅有 $2200 萬的多頭被清算，而在 8 月 14 日的 6% 回調中，清算金額為 $5600 萬。與過熱市場中的典型清算相比，這些數字顯示出槓桿的清理相對可控，降低了連鎖賣壓的風險。
總的來說，雖然開放興趣的下降引起了警惕，但它也為價格底部留下了空間。如果 XRP 能夠保持在 $2.33–$2.65 的區間內，交易者可能會將冷卻的槓桿背景視為下一輪上升的潛在跳板，而不是向新低的突破。
XRP 鯨魚資金流入持續施壓價格
來自 CryptoQuant 的數據顯示，XRP 最近漲至 $3.66 時，伴隨著大量資金流入交易所，尤其是持有 100,000 到 1,000,000 XRP 的鯨魚。歷史上，這種交易所資金流入的激增通常出現在主要市場高點之前，例如 2018 年在 $3 以上、2021 年在約 $1.90 附近，以及 2023 年在約 $0.90 附近，這表明大型投資者再次準備獲利了結。
目前，XRP 的價格在 $3 附近盤整，而資金流入仍然高企，這突顯了短期的賣壓。如果鯨魚繼續拋售，向 $2.6 的支撐區域可能會出現下行風險。
然而，如果能夠強有力地捍衛 $3 的價格，將顯示出韌性，並可能為下一次的牛市推動鋪平道路。從結構上看，XRP 的整體上升趨勢仍然保持不變。與過去的周期相比，這個加密資產目前處於更健康的技術環境，使得 2025 年目標在 $5 以上的預測仍然在可達範圍內，儘管短期內波動性仍然存在。
這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險，讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。
—
在這篇文章中，XRP 的市場動態顯示出短期內的賣壓和長期的上升潛力之間的微妙平衡。開放興趣的下降可能是市場健康的信號，因為它表明過度投機的減少。這不僅提醒投資者要保持警覺，還強調了在市場波動中尋找進場機會的重要性。隨著鯨魚活動的增加，市場參與者應該更加關注資金流向，以便更好地把握未來的趨勢。
以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。
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