特朗普之子加入Polymarket董事會 迎接美國市場回歸




特朗普小子加入Polymarket董事會,預測市場瞄準美國重返

唐納德·特朗普小子(Donald Trump Jr.)已加入預測市場Polymarket的顧問委員會,這一舉措是在1789 Capital對該平台進行戰略投資之後,將預測市場與美國政治更緊密地聯繫在一起。

根據Axios的估計,這筆投資金額為“數千萬美元”。特朗普小子在2024年成為該基金的合夥人。他在周二的聲明中表示:“Polymarket打破了媒體的旋轉和所謂的‘專家’意見,讓人們可以根據他們實際相信的事情進行賭注。”

此次投資是在Polymarket努力重返美國市場的背景下進行的,該平台曾因商品期貨交易委員會(CFTC)的行動而被迫封鎖用戶。

在2022年,CFTC對該公司處以140萬美元的罰款,因其運營未註冊的掉期平台並下令其封鎖美國用戶。為了重新建立合法的立足點,Polymarket在2025年7月以1.12億美元收購了CFTC授權的衍生品交易所QCEX,這與CFTC和司法部對該平台的調查結束的時間相吻合。

選舉賭注、監管與Polymarket的下一階段

在2024年美國總統選舉期間,Polymarket處理了超過36億美元的賭注,其中約27億美元集中在特朗普與哈里斯的對決上。這一活動的激增引起了多位美國立法者的批評。

2024年8月,參議員伊莉莎白·華倫、傑夫·梅克利等人向CFTC發函,呼籲禁止選舉賭注。他們認為,允許人們在同時為特定候選人或政黨捐款的情況下進行“非凡賭注”,以及政治內部人士利用非公開信息進行賭注,將進一步削弱公眾對選舉過程的信任。

這一情緒在體育界也得到了呼應。國家橄欖球聯盟(NFL)最近警告說,像Polymarket這樣的預測市場存在完整性風險,認為如果沒有合規和監控系統,這些平台可能會使比賽面臨操縱的風險。

儘管批評聲不斷,Polymarket在2025年7月報導稱正在完成一輪2億美元的融資,該平台的估值達到10億美元。該平台還在8月發布了美國的規則手冊,並在同月在美國進行了數字廣告,宣傳其重返市場的計劃。

這一事件不僅反映了特朗普小子個人的影響力,也揭示了預測市場在美國政治中的潛在角色。隨著選舉賭注的興起,這一領域的監管將成為未來的熱點話題。Polymarket的成功與否,將在很大程度上取決於它如何應對這些挑戰,並在不斷變化的政治環境中尋找合法的運營方式。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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