2030年比特幣有望破百萬美元!




$1M比特幣到2030年:大牌預測巨額債務驅動的BTC反彈

一些知名金融評論員和投資分析師預測,比特幣的長期反彈可能會在2030年前將其價格推高至100萬美元以上,這主要是受到通脹上升和全球債務增加的驅動。

ARK Invest的首席執行官Cathie Wood表示,比特幣(BTC)在其公司的「牛市情境」預測中,可能在2030年達到150萬美元。Wood在2月11日的一段視頻中提到,這一價格需要比特幣在未來五年內以58%的年均增長率增長,這主要是由於機構採納的增加。

相關: 比特幣在貿易戰緊張局勢緩解後創下109K的新高

知名財經教育家和《富爸爸,窮爸爸》的作者Robert Kiyosaki預測,比特幣在2035年將達到100萬美元的價格。他在4月18日的X平台上發文表示:「我堅信到2035年,一個比特幣將超過100萬美元,黃金將達到3萬美元,白銀將達到每盎司3000美元。」他提到2025年美國聯邦和信用卡的債務創下紀錄,這將是推動避險資產如貴金屬和比特幣的主要因素。

Kiyosaki預測,日益上升的財政債務可能導致「歷史上最大的股市崩盤」,如果投資者透過投資「只需一個比特幣或一些黃金或白銀」來對沖,將會變得「非常富有」。

相關: 報告指出比特幣更像是「多元化投資工具」而非避險資產

其他分析師,包括Raoul Pal,也指出法定貨幣貶值是比特幣作為避險資產吸引力的關鍵原因。

在2024年12月,Eric Trump(美國總統唐納德·特朗普的兒子及特朗普集團的執行副總裁)也預測比特幣將達到100萬美元,並提到其潛力能「以美好的方式改變全球經濟」。

分析師預測2025年將達到20萬美元

根據10x Research的首席執行官兼研究主管Markus Thielen的說法,比特幣的價格行為歷史上通常以每次16000美元的增幅波動。Thielen在5月22日的Chain Reaction日常X空間節目中告訴Cointelegraph,根據最新的價格行為,這表明比特幣的下一個重要阻力位接近122000美元。他補充道:「我們在過去五或六周內一直持樂觀態度。從特朗普在2月的就職演講後我們變得悲觀,但現在又轉向樂觀。」

Thielen表示:「開放利率很高,但資金利率很低,我認為這表明人們試圖做空這一反彈。」他補充說,122000美元仍然是確認比特幣反彈持續的下一個重要價格目標。

比特幣可能在2025年底前將其反彈推高至超過20萬美元的價格,根據Bitwise的歐洲研究主管André Dragosch的說法。他表示:「加拿大比特幣專家Greg Foss提出了一個模型,可以根據G20主權債券的籃子來評估比特幣的價值。」他補充說:「根據當前所有這些G20主權債券的違約概率,比特幣的價值已經超過20萬美元。」

他還表示,對主權信用風險的日益擔憂和機構資金流入可能成為比特幣下一次反彈的催化劑。

這些預測反映出市場對比特幣的信心,尤其是在全球經濟不穩定的背景下。隨著通脹和債務問題的加劇,比特幣作為一種替代投資的吸引力將可能持續增強。然而,投資者也應該意識到市場的波動性及風險,謹慎決策。

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