長和港口大交易陷中美爭拗 談判期限或將延長

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長江實業擬出售228億美元港口業務 交涉期限料將延長 美中緊張局勢持續影響交易

香港財團長江實業(CK Hutchison)計劃出售其價值約228億美元的港口業務,但由於政治角力持續,交易短期內難以落實,消息人士透露,原定於周日結束的獨家談判期限很可能會延長。

該財團擬將港口業務出售予一個由黑石集團(BlackRock)及意大利億萬富翁Gianluigi Aponte家族經營的航運公司MSC領導的聯合體。該交易涵蓋位於戰略要地巴拿馬運河附近的兩個港口,然而在中美貿易戰升級的背景下,交易已被政治化。

根據3月公布的條款,長江實業與該聯合體進行為期145天的獨家談判,期限至本周日結束。但三名接近長江實業的消息人士表示,若雙方未能在期限內達成協議,談判期限可能會延長,獨家談判仍有望繼續。

交易的首階段,即出售巴拿馬運河附近兩個港口的最終文件簽署,原定於4月2日完成,但該期限同樣未能達標。

由於事態敏感,消息人士均要求匿名。黑石集團拒絕置評,長江實業與MSC地中海航運公司亦未回應置評請求。

美國總統特朗普曾稱該交易為「收回」巴拿馬運河,特朗普政府早前呼籲移除被指為中國擁有的運河附近港口資產。然而,4月中國最高市場監管機構表示,正密切關注長江實業的出售計劃,並警告交易各方不得規避反壟斷審查。

北京方面的立場在親中媒體公開批評後變得明確,指中國在該交易中擁有重大國家利益,若出售成功將被視為對國家的背叛。

「我認為目前來看,直接將港口賣給該聯合體的可能性不大。」香港FSMOne環球固定收益高級經理陳志堅表示,他的客戶持有長江實業債券。他又認為,即使下周宣布不出售,市場亦不會感到震驚,因為消息已被消化,對公司營運影響不大。

交易風險持續升溫 中國遠洋運輸公司意圖加入聯合體

長江實業股價在3月交易公布後兩天飆升33%,但至4月中旬已回吐所有升幅,隨後隨著香港大市回升,股價才逐步回穩。

近日,交易前景更添變數,另有消息透露,中國港口營運商中國遠洋海運集團(COSCO)正尋求加入收購聯合體,並要求在未來接管43個港口的實體中獲得否決權或同等權力。

彭博新聞引述知情人士報道,COSCO的加入可能會令交易變得更加複雜。COSCO未回應置評請求。

CFRA Research分析師Cathy Seifert認為,現有聯合體可能會接受COSCO加入,但她認為,交易最終能否完成的最大風險來自特朗普政府,因為美國很可能會阻止涉及中國企業的交易。

獨立研究平台Smartkarma的Ballingal Investment Advisors策略師David Blennerhassett表示,COSCO加入聯合體很可能激怒特朗普,他本已肩負多項棘手議題,將會感到極度憤怒。

評論與啟示

長江實業港口業務出售案不僅是一宗商業交易,更是國際政治博弈的縮影。中美兩國在全球供應鏈和戰略要地的控制權競爭,令這宗交易充滿不確定性。美國政府視港口控制權為國家安全問題,企圖阻止中國企業擴大影響力,而北京則視此為國家利益的核心,堅決反對出售。

這場政治博弈意味著企業的純商業決策往往被國家利益左右,交易時間表和條件都可能因政治因素而改變。長江實業的情況也反映出,全球港口和基建資產正成為大國角力的新戰場。

對投資者來說,這種政治風險是不可忽視的變數。雖然市場已部分消化消息,但未來仍需密切關注中美關係走向及相關監管動態。企業在涉足戰略資產交易時,必須更加謹慎評估政治環境,制定靈活的應對策略。

總結而言,長江實業港口出售案的進展不僅牽動金融市場,也折射出全球地緣政治格局的深刻變化。這提醒我們,當今的商業決策已無法脫離國際政治的框架,未來企業與投資者需更具全球視野和戰略思維。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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