諾和諾德股價暴跌 新CEO挑戰美國市場




諾和諾德股價持續下跌 新任CEO面對美國市場挑戰

哥本哈根消息——生產減肥藥Wegovy的製藥巨頭諾和諾德(Novo Nordisk)股價周三進一步下挫,分析師警告美國市場將持續面臨仿製藥的激烈競爭。這是在公司周二發出盈利預警並宣布任命新任CEO後,引發投資者一日內蒸發700億美元市值的情況下發生的。

諾和諾德周二大幅下調了2025年的銷售增長預期,並宣布由資深內部人馬Maziar Mike Doustdar接任CEO,肩負振興其在全球最大減肥藥市場——美國的業務表現重任。

公司表示,下調銷售預期主要因為來自「複合製劑」仿製藥的競爭加劇。這些複合製劑是基於與品牌藥相同成分的訂製藥物,令投資者大感意外。

儘管諾和諾德強調將加大力度追回使用仿製藥的患者並打擊非法複合製劑,但Guggenheim的分析師指出,諾和諾德最新的2025年銷售指引並未假設複合製劑的市佔率會下降。

受此影響,諾和諾德股價周二收跌23%,盤中一度暴跌近30%。周三收盤時股價再跌6.3%。

自2021年推出Wegovy以來,諾和諾德一度成為歐洲市值最高的上市公司,但自去年6月股價高峰以來,因市場擔憂其在肥胖藥市場的競爭力下降,股價已蒸發約三分之二。

儘管面臨困難,新任CEO Doustdar在周二的投資者電話會議上表示:「我們目前在Wegovy的銷售表現非常出色。」

巴克萊分析師Emily Field指出:「這已經成為一個嚴重的信譽問題。他們對自身問題的認知遠不及市場嚴重,這造成了很大麻煩。」

Doustdar向投資者表示,優先事項將是加快步伐並提升「商業執行力」,但未透露任何新的戰略方向。

目前,Doustdar負責除美國外的全球所有商業單位。TD Cowen分析師認為,美國市場一直是諾和諾德商業努力中的亮點,有助於在產品管線推進時支撐現有業務平台。

巴克萊將諾和諾德股票評級從「增持」下調至「持平」,美國銀行亦將評級從「買入」降至「中性」。

諾和諾德真的被低估了嗎?

隨著諾和諾德成為焦點,投資者紛紛問及其估值是否合理。InvestingPro利用先進的人工智能算法,分析了諾和諾德與數千隻股票的表現,試圖發掘具巨大上升空間的隱藏寶石。結果顯示,諾和諾德並未位列頂尖。

編輯評論:

諾和諾德的現況充分反映了創新藥企在面對仿製藥競爭時的雙重挑戰。Wegovy的成功曾一度推動公司市值飆升,但複合製劑的崛起證明,單靠創新成分並不足以長期壟斷市場。尤其在美國這個高度競爭且監管複雜的環境,非法或灰色地帶的複合製劑對品牌藥形成了實質威脅。

新CEO Doustdar面對的首要任務不單是加強商業執行,更重要的是如何塑造和維護品牌信譽,重新贏得患者與醫療機構的信任。市場對公司問題的擔憂反映出投資者對未來增長的不確定性,這需要管理層提出更具前瞻性和具體的策略。

此外,這場風波也提醒投資者,單一產品驅動的公司風險極高,投資組合多元化和持續創新是企業長遠穩健發展的關鍵。未來諾和諾德若能有效遏制仿製藥侵蝕,並加速新產品管線的推進,仍有望重拾市場信心。

總括而言,諾和諾德的挑戰不僅是商業層面,更是如何在快速變化的藥品市場中保持領導地位的戰略考驗。這對全球製藥業來說,是一個值得深思的案例。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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