英美煙草美國業務破冰首季增長

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英美煙草首半年盈利超預期 美國業務三年來首次增長

英美煙草(British American Tobacco,簡稱BAT)周四公布的半年業績超出市場預期,主要得益於其美國業務三年來首次實現增長,顯示這個最大市場可能出現轉機,儘管新關稅實施及消費者偏好轉變帶來挑戰。

BAT表示,全年收入增長預計將達到此前預測範圍的上限。該公司旗下的Lucky Strike與Dunhill香煙品牌表現穩健,而美國市場收入按固定匯率計算增長3.7%,佔總銷售約44%。其中,尼古丁口含袋產品Velo推動了新類別產品銷售增長3.9%。

BAT的無煙產品,包括Velo、Vuse Ultra高端電子煙及glo Hilo加熱煙草,佔公司總收入超過18%。BAT與菲利普莫里斯(Philip Morris)、Imperial Brands及Altria等競爭對手正積極搶占電子煙、加熱煙及口含尼古丁袋市場,以應對傳統煙草產品銷量下滑的趨勢。

儘管大部分美國銷售的BAT產品均在當地生產,但旗下Vuse電子煙裝置在印尼製造,現需支付19%的關稅。CEO Tadeu Marroco在新聞簡報會上表示,公司已提前囤積部分庫存以短期緩解關稅影響,並計劃主要通過利潤率吸收關稅成本。他同時指出,美國生產的煙油在業務中佔比較大。

Marroco補充,包裝材料等成本上升亦會增加支出,但影響「可控」,公司正密切關注全年關稅變動對消費者的影響。

BAT報告顯示,截至6月30日的半年調整後攤薄每股盈利為162便士,較去年同期的159.4便士及市場預期的154.8便士均有提升。公司重申有望實現2025年的財務目標,年銷售增長將在1%至2%的預測範圍上限。

編者評論:BAT的美國業務回暖意味著什麼?

BAT在美國市場三年來首次錄得增長,這不僅是公司戰略調整的成效,也反映出消費者對新型煙草產品接受度的提升。隨著傳統香煙銷量持續下滑,投資電子煙、加熱煙及口含尼古丁袋等新興產品成為煙草巨頭未來增長的關鍵。BAT成功推動Velo等產品銷售,說明其在創新領域的布局開始見效。

不過,印尼製造的Vuse電子煙裝置面臨19%關稅,凸顯全球貿易政策變動對跨國企業供應鏈的影響。BAT短期內透過囤貨緩解壓力,但長遠來看,如何在成本上升與利潤保持間取得平衡,仍是管理層的挑戰。此外,包裝等材料成本增加亦是不可忽視的因素,反映出整體通脹環境對企業運營的影響。

從消費者角度看,廣泛的關稅變動可能會推高產品價格,影響購買力及需求彈性。BAT能否通過產品創新和品牌影響力維持市場份額,將是其持續競爭力的關鍵。

整體而言,BAT的業績表現及市場策略展示了煙草行業正積極轉型,尋求在新興產品領域取得突破。對香港及全球投資者來說,這樣的轉型不僅是行業結構變化的縮影,也提供了重新評估煙草股投資價值的契機。未來,如何平衡創新、成本及政策風險,將成為BAT及同行業者能否持續獲利的關鍵指標。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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