英倫銀行態度轉柔,料2025年減息




英國央行保持謹慎指引,帶有鴿派基調,摩根大通表示

根據美國銀行(BofA)全球研究部的報告,英國央行(BoE)最新的決策顯示出鴿派基調,因為投票結果為6比3,且指引走向逐步,預示著可能在2025年2月開始降息。

BofA還指出,英國央行對勞動市場的評估已從「相對緊張」轉變為「大致平衡」,這反映出市場對未來經濟的預期變得更加溫和。

儘管近期通脹和薪資增長有所上升,英國央行的指引仍然顯示出逐步降低利率的路徑。BofA預計,下一次降息將在2025年2月進行,利率將逐步下降至3.50%,預計到2026年初實現。

在英國央行的決策公布後,市場對降息的預期有所減弱,儘管這一減弱程度並未如會議紀要中所暗示的那樣明顯。

央行重申其謹慎的政策調整方式,強調在持續的國內通脹壓力以及對經濟增長和通脹預測的種種不確定性下,進行逐步的政策調整是必要的。

這一分析反映了央行在面對當前經濟環境時,仍然謹慎而不失靈活的應對策略。隨著全球經濟的不確定性加大,英國央行的這一立場可能會在未來的政策決策中持續發揮影響。這也提醒投資者,需時刻關注央行的動向,因為這將直接影響到市場的走勢和整體經濟環境。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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