美股樂觀情緒持續上升!Citi分析師最新報告解讀




美國的樂觀情緒持續擴大,花旗分析師表示

根據花旗的策略師報告,儘管宏觀經濟環境參差不齊,但美國市場的樂觀情緒仍在持續增長。最近的就業數據顯示,勞動市場出現疲弱趨勢,這可能促使美國聯邦儲備系統考慮更快速和大幅度的降息。

在納斯達克和標普500指數中,風險流動性尤其明顯,納斯達克的持倉變化在各指數中最為顯著。標普500和納斯達克的多頭持倉已達到三年來的高點,顯示出延續的樂觀情緒。

與此趨勢相符的交易所交易基金(ETF)流動性也顯示出市場共識,無論是短期還是長期投資者均對此持正面看法。

花旗的策略師克里斯·蒙塔古(Chris Montagu)在報告中指出:“標普500的持倉呈現不對稱且單邊的多頭,而納斯達克的空頭持倉則略微下降,低於長期平均水平。”他還提到,納斯達克的空頭損失平均為-2.4%,目前的空頭持倉在21,050以上的狹窄範圍內,雖然目前損失適中,但若市場持續上升,可能會增加平倉風險,對指數提供支持。

相比之下,羅素2000指數的持倉在整個星期內相對平穩,突顯出美國股票市場在此期間的選擇性流動模式。

在歐洲,儘管法國近期政治不穩,投資者行為依然堅韌。歐洲斯托克50指數、德國DAX指數及歐洲銀行的持倉水準均有所上升,主要是受到新多頭持倉的驅動。這一趨勢與早前投資者對歐洲市場的興趣逐漸回升相呼應。

最近的活動進一步強化了這一趨勢,歐洲斯托克50的空頭持倉已從近期低點反彈。

最後,亞洲的恆生指數和A50期貨的多頭持倉上周也獲得支持,這一情況在政治局最近的政策支持信號之前已經開始出現。

KOSPI的持倉相對穩定,投資者保持輕微的空頭立場。與此同時,日經指數的持倉則顯示出樂觀情緒的上升,並未受到最近地區政治發展的影響。

這一系列的市場動向顯示出全球投資者的信心正逐步恢復,特別是在美國市場的樂觀情緒持續上升的背景下。這不僅反映了市場對於即將降息的期待,也顯示出投資者對於經濟復甦的信心,有助於未來的市場表現。

在這樣的情況下,投資者應該保持警惕,考慮市場的波動性及其潛在風險,同時尋找合適的投資機會來捕捉這股樂觀情緒所帶來的潛在收益。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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