美股回落等聯儲局利率決定,市場緊張氣氛升溫




股市最新動態:標普500指數從紀錄高位回落,市場聚焦美聯儲利率決定

標普500指數在周二創下盤中新高後回落,投資者正密切關注預計將於周三公布的美聯儲降息決定。

截至美東時間下午4時(格林威治標準時間晚上8時),道瓊斯工業平均指數下跌125點,跌幅約0.2%;標普500指數微跌0.1%,但曾一度觸及6626.76的歷史新高;納斯達克綜合指數則下跌0.1%。值得注意的是,標普500及納斯達克指數週一均創下歷史收盤新高,標普500首次站上6600點,這主要受市場對美聯儲降息的預期推動。

美國八月零售銷售強勁增長,美聯儲會議即將展開

根據美國商務部周二發布的數據,美國八月份零售銷售環比增長0.6%,高於市場預期的0.2%,並與七月經修正後的增幅持平。此次銷售增長部分由電子商務需求推動,但勞動市場疲軟的風險仍然存在,特別是在第三季度末尾階段。零售銷售數據主要反映商品銷售,未經通脹調整。

Vital Knowledge的分析師指出,這一數據短期內可能被視為鷹派信號,反映消費者支出健康,但他們同時強調,消費者持續消費並不令人意外,因為美聯儲更關注就業狀況。

美聯儲於周二開始為期兩天的政策會議,市場普遍預期將於周三宣布降息25個基點。屆時,聯儲將發布新的經濟預測,包括對未來降息的展望,許多投資者押注今年將有三次降息。

中美貿易談判帶動市場風險偏好回升

市場風險偏好受到中美在馬德里進行的貿易談判樂觀消息推動。美國總統特朗普於周一發文稱,歐洲的大型貿易會議“進展非常順利”,並透露雙方就年輕人期望拯救的某家公司達成協議,暗指TikTok。

美國財政部長斯科特·貝森特確認,TikTok在美國所有權的框架協議已達成,特朗普與中國國家主席習近平的電話會議定於周五進行,以敲定細節。

企業動態:福特德國裁員,谷歌加碼英國投資

汽車製造商福特宣布因需求疲軟,計劃在德國科隆削減多達1000個電動車生產職位。谷歌則宣布計劃在英國新增投資50億英鎊(約68億美元),以配合特朗普即將訪英的國事行程,預料將促成多項商業合作。

此外,餐飲及娛樂連鎖品牌Dave & Buster’s公佈季度業績不佳,股價大幅下挫。火箭實驗室(Rocket Lab)股價下跌,原因是宣布簽署價值高達7.5億美元的股票購買協議。健康保險公司Oscar Health則因發行3.5億美元可轉換高級債券,股價回落。

甲骨文(Oracle)股價上升,因有報導指該公司是支持TikTok繼續在美國運營的企業聯盟成員之一,若中美達成框架協議,TikTok運營將獲保障。

評論與見解:

近期標普500指數屢創新高,反映市場對美聯儲降息的高度期待,然而股市在利率決定前夕的回落,顯示投資者情緒仍存在謹慎。零售銷售數據強勁,表明消費者支出未現明顯放緩,這對經濟是一大利好,但同時也可能成為美聯儲降息的限制因素,因為降息通常是為了刺激疲弱的經濟活動。

中美貿易談判的積極進展,尤其是TikTok的所有權問題取得突破,為市場注入了風險偏好的動力,顯示地緣政治因素在短期內對市場情緒有正面影響。然而,這種樂觀情緒是否能持續,仍需觀察雙方最終達成的具體協議內容及執行情況。

從企業層面看,福特在德國的裁員反映出部分行業需求疲軟的現實,與此同時,谷歌加大對英國的投資則顯示出科技巨頭在全球布局中的戰略調整。投資者應密切關注這些企業動態,因為它們往往是經濟趨勢的風向標。

總體而言,市場正處於美聯儲政策轉折點與國際貿易談判的交叉口,短期內波動加劇在所難免。投資者應維持謹慎態度,密切關注宏觀經濟數據及政策動向,尋找風險與收益的平衡點。對於香港及全球投資者來說,理解這些因素背後的相互影響,有助於更精準地判斷市場走勢,制定更靈活的投資策略。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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