美國議會通過「大美法案」 丹麥風電股急升




丹麥風力發電巨頭Vestas與Orsted股價因美國參議院通過「大美法案」急升

美國參議院日前通過了由前總統特朗普支持的具爭議性稅改法案——「大美法案」(Big Beautiful Bill),令丹麥風力發電企業Vestas Wind Systems及Orsted的股價大幅上漲。該法案經過長達27小時的激烈辯論後,以51票對50票的微弱優勢通過,副總統JD Vance發揮了關鍵的決勝票作用。三名共和黨議員則投票反對該法案,站在民主黨一邊。

截至格林威治標準時間08:57,Vestas的股價在哥本哈根交易所飆升約10%,而Orsted則上升約4.5%。巴克萊銀行分析師Vlad Sergievskii指出,參議院通過的版本對清潔能源補貼的逐步取消做出了調整,允許新項目在法案生效後12個月內獲得批准,預計在2026年中期才會出現補貼斷崖。

法案維持原定計劃,即2027年底前逐步取消對風力發電製造商的直接補貼,同時要求2026年及2027年供應鏈中85%至90%不含FEOC(外國能源部件)的比例。值得注意的是,最終版本取消了對未達到FEOC成本比率門檻的太陽能及風能項目徵收稅務懲罰的條款。

此外,法案新增條款,允許在法案成為法律後12個月內開始建設的項目,依照現有規定獲得通過《通脹削減法案》(IRA)的稅收抵免。若項目建設時間超過12個月,則必須在2027年底前完成並投入運營,才能享有相關抵免。

「大美法案」涵蓋特朗普多項核心政策,惹來兩黨批評

這項法案不僅延續了特朗普2017年的減稅措施,還削減了多項福利計劃,同時增加了邊境管控及遣返移民的經費。法案預計將使國家債務增加約3.3萬億美元,遭到兩黨議員的廣泛批評。反對者更指出,削減如醫療補助(Medicaid)及補充營養援助計劃(SNAP)等福利,實際上將資源從低收入家庭轉移到富裕階層的稅收減免上,增加社會不公平。

Vestas股價表現與市場展望

隨著法案通過,Vestas成為市場關注焦點。2024年以來,人工智能驅動的投資組合ProPicks已成功挑選出多隻強勢股票,其中包括多隻漲幅超過30%甚至150%的個股。這類工具可助投資者洞察市場趨勢,並評估Vestas是否值得納入長線投資組合。

評論與啟示:

這次美國參議院通過的「大美法案」雖然在政治上充滿爭議,但對全球清潔能源產業,尤其是風力發電領域,帶來了明顯的利好。法案中對清潔能源補貼的延緩和靈活調整,為企業提供了一定的政策保障,減少了行業的不確定性,促使Vestas及Orsted股價應聲上漲。

然而,法案同時也暴露出美國政治在能源轉型和社會公平之間的拉鋸戰。削減對弱勢群體的福利支援,換取對高端產業的稅收優惠,可能加劇社會分化,從長遠看或影響消費市場的穩定性。這提醒投資者在追求環保及高成長產業的同時,也應關注政策對社會整體結構的深遠影響。

此外,法案對供應鏈本地化的要求,反映出美國對能源自主及產業安全的重視。對於像Vestas這類跨國企業而言,如何調整生產及供應策略以符合規範,將是未來營運的關鍵挑戰。投資者應密切關注相關政策細節及企業應對措施,以評估其長期競爭力。

總括而言,「大美法案」雖帶來短期股價利好,但其深層次的政治與經濟影響值得深入觀察。作為投資者和市場觀察者,理解法案背後的多重利益博弈,才能更全面判斷行業走勢及投資風險。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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