美國股市增持:如何把握機會?




SocGen增加對美國股票的配置

投資.com報導——儘管美國股票的飆升引發了對估值過高的擔憂,但隨著經濟軟著陸的可能性仍然存在,企業部門的持續強勁表現,以及市場尚未出現過度樂觀的跡象,法國興業銀行(Societe Generale)已適度增加對美國股票的配置。

該行在最近的一份報告中指出:「企業利潤應該會保持穩定,利潤率也會很高,特別是在美國,企業稅可能會保持在低位(甚至更低),這得益於可能的放鬆管制。」

法國興業銀行將其對美國股票的配置提高了3%,達到整體投資組合的30%。這一決定是基於對增長前景的堅定信心以及油價下跌為增長驅動資產提供的支持。

儘管如此,該行也承認美國股票的估值已經相對緊張,股票風險溢價為3.2%。

最近美國選舉的「紅色掃蕩」結果可能會進一步鞏固「美國優先」的政策,這也是有助於美國股票的三大因素之一。

該行表示,對於包括股票在內的風險資產,三個因素仍然是支持性的,這些因素包括對經濟軟著陸的持續預期、企業利潤率保持在接近歷史高位,以及市場缺乏過度樂觀的情緒。

法國興業銀行的經濟學家預測,未來兩年GDP增長將趨於平穩,分別為2.3%和1.9%,而今年的增長預測為2.8%。

在特朗普第二任期下可能再度爆發貿易戰,這可能對歐洲股票造成打擊。為了保護其股票配置不受潛在貿易戰的影響,該行表示已將其股票配置從歐洲大陸轉向英國,並從中國轉向日本。

這一策略的調整顯示出法國興業銀行對未來市場動向的謹慎態度。隨著全球經濟形勢的變化,投資者必須不斷調整其投資組合以應對潛在風險。而法國興業銀行的這一決策,無疑是基於對當前經濟環境的深刻理解,並試圖在不確定性中尋找穩定和增長的機會。

在未來的市場環境中,投資者需要保持靈活性,並隨時關注全球經濟和政治的變化,以做出明智的投資決策。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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