美國煉油業Q2盈利反彈柴油利潤強勁提升




美國煉油商第二季盈利料回升 強勁柴油利潤助力

紐約消息——投資者預期美國主要煉油商第二季度將錄得更高利潤,扭轉首季虧損局面,因為異常強勁的柴油利潤率推動盈利回升。

過去數月,燃料製造商因生產關鍵產品而意外獲利,這對比去年2022年創紀錄的盈利有所緩和。當時因疫情後需求復甦及俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭,燃油價格大幅上升。

部分預測機構原本預計今年利潤率會走弱,因預期需求減慢。雖然分析師預料本季利潤將較上一季回升,但仍可能低於去年同期水平。

TD Cowen分析師Jason Gabelman指出:「煉油商股價年初至今上升約20%,異常逆季節的柴油利潤率強勁支撐整體行業。」他表示,產品利潤率有望維持在較高水平,直至秋季維修季節。

TPH & Co分析師Matthew Blair在報告中表示,第二季度柴油裂解利潤平均每桶約17美元,與第一季相若,但季度末升至每桶21美元。美國柴油庫存因強勁出口和需求改善,於五月初降至五年低位,推高了利潤率。

此外,美國煉廠的柴油產量偏低,可能因原油組合較輕。

美國第二大煉油商Valero將於周四率先公布業績,分析師預測每股盈利1.75美元,較去年同期2.71美元有所下降。

按LSEG數據,按煉油量計美國最大煉油商Marathon Petroleum預計每股盈利3.28美元,去年同期為4.12美元。

Phillips 66預計每股盈利1.69美元,較去年同期2.31美元亦有所減少。Marathon及Phillips 66均於第一季錄得虧損。

VLO真的被低估了嗎?

隨著Valero(VLO)成為市場焦點,投資者紛紛問:它的估值是否合理?InvestingPro利用先進AI算法分析了VLO及數千隻股票,以尋找潛在的高升值股票,結果VLO並未排在榜首。

評論與啟示

這篇報道充分展示了美國煉油行業在面對宏觀經濟波動和地緣政治風險下的韌性。柴油需求的逆季節強勁表現,令煉油商得以逆勢獲利,反映出燃料市場供需結構的微妙變化。值得注意的是,儘管盈利較去年有所回落,但行業仍保持獲利能力,顯示市場對煉油產品的需求仍然穩健。

對香港投資者而言,這不僅是了解全球能源市場動態的好機會,亦提醒我們能源價格及供應鏈變化對本地經濟的潛在影響。煉油業的盈利波動與全球經濟復甦密切相關,尤其是亞洲地區的能源需求增長。

另外,AI技術在股票分析中的應用日益普及,投資者可以透過這些工具尋找市場中未被充分發掘的潛力股,但同時亦需警惕單一指標或算法的局限,應結合基本面和宏觀經濟分析來做出更全面的投資判斷。

總括來說,煉油商第二季盈利回升是市場中的一個亮點,但投資者仍需關注全球經濟增長放緩、原油價格波動及政策變動等風險因素。未來幾個季度的表現將更能反映煉油行業的真實走勢及其在能源轉型大潮中的定位。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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