納指跌勢加劇 美中貿易緊張升溫影響科技股




納斯達克100指數今日:QQQ因美中緊張升溫下跌,核心PCE下降

納斯達克100指數(NDX)星期五出現下跌,雖然美國核心個人消費支出(PCE)指數按月下跌,並符合市場預期,但因美國與中國之間的緊張局勢升溫,令市場情緒轉差。

核心PCE數據緩和,市場關注轉向美中摩擦

4月份的核心PCE按年上升2.5%,較3月份的2.7%有所回落。核心PCE是聯儲局最偏好的通脹指標,剔除食品及能源價格的波動,反映消費者在商品及服務上的實際支出。

不過,核心PCE的緩和未能帶來市場安慰。今早,美國前總統特朗普在Truth Social發文,指中國「完全違反與我們的協議」,言辭激烈。作為回應,中國要求美國停止對其貿易的「歧視性限制」,並結束對半導體等產業的不公平出口措施。

隨後,《彭博》報道,美國計劃對已列入「實體清單」的中國企業子公司實施制裁,最快下月生效,且消息指未來或有更多制裁跟隨。

截至目前,納斯達克100指數下跌0.99%。

納指走勢圖

哪些股票拖累納斯達克100?

根據TipRanks的納斯達克100熱力圖,今日指數下跌的主因明顯。

納指熱力圖

「七雄」今日表現平平,當中以Nvidia(NVDA)跌幅最大,達-3.54%。作為半導體龍頭,Nvidia受美中關係惡化拖累。其他芯片股如Broadcom(AVGO)、AMD(AMD)及Arm Holdings(ARM)同樣下跌。

由於美中摩擦升溫,Tesla(TSLA)及蘋果(AAPL)亦受壓,兩者在中國市場佔有重要地位。相反,Costco(COST)因公佈第三季業績優於預期,逆市上升近4%。

QQQ隨納指同步下挫

Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ)作為追蹤納斯達克100的ETF,今日表現亦隨指數同步下跌。

QQQ走勢圖

儘管如此,華爾街對QQQ後市依然樂觀。過去三個月,分析師對QQQ成份股的平均目標價為575.58美元,較現價有11.74%上升空間。QQQ內的102隻成份股,共獲得86個「買入」評級、16個「持有」評級,暫無「賣出」評級。

編輯評論:美中角力下的科技板塊新常態

這次納指下跌,表面上是受美中貿易緊張拖累,但實際反映了全球科技供應鏈的脆弱性。無論是Nvidia、AMD抑或蘋果、Tesla,背後都與中國有千絲萬縷的產業鏈關係。當中美角力升級,單靠美國的通脹數據緩和,已難以支撐科技股的高估值。

值得注意的是,Costco逆市上揚,反映消費類股在地緣政治動盪下的防守性。市場資金或開始尋找更具現金流、防禦力強的板塊作避險。

此外,華爾街對QQQ依然樂觀,說明資金仍對美國科技板塊長遠增長有信心,但短線波動將成為新常態。投資者未來或需更審慎關注政策風險、供應鏈去全球化趨勢,甚至是科技冷戰下的產業重組。

總結而言,這次納指下跌並非單一事件,而是反映全球資本市場進入一個以地緣政治為主導、科技產業面臨結構性挑戰的新時代。投資者必須跳出傳統估值思維,更要懂得捕捉政策、產業鏈變動帶來的新機遇與風險。

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