特朗普言論助比特幣回暖,市場反應如何?




比特幣價格在特朗普聲明後回暖 — 交易員表示「保持靈活並準備好現金」

比特幣價格在接近85,000美元的穩定水平上持平,隨著Coinbase Premium的回歸以及美聯儲和特朗普總統的正面評論,交易員的信心有所增強。

比特幣在紐約交易時段的早期一度達到87,453美元的日內高點,但在特朗普總統於數字資產峰會上發表視頻聲明後,迅速回落至83,655美元。

在視頻聲明之前,社交媒體上流傳著關於特朗普將宣布對某些加密貨幣免徵資本利得稅或發表有利於美國比特幣儲備的聲明的謠言。

令一些交易員失望的是,這些謠言最終並未成真,特朗普只是重申了他不會出售政府沒收的比特幣的承諾,並呼籲國會儘快制定明確的穩定幣立法。

特朗普總統發表的最積極的聲明是他重申了讓美國成為加密貨幣領導者的目標。

「我們將共同努力,讓美國成為無可爭議的比特幣超級大國,以及全球加密貨幣的首都。」

如同加密市場的常態,交易員顯然相信特朗普會發表某種支持比特幣的行政命令聲明,而當這一情況明確不是如此時,他們便選擇在消息發布後賣出。

在一則社交媒體帖子中,註冊市場技術分析師Aksel Kibar表示,比特幣價格仍有可能回調至73,700美元。

Kibar表示:

「BTC/USD的長期圖表仍然看起來像是回調至破位的73.7K。接下來的走勢將決定未來幾個月的價格走向。」

比特幣近期的強勁表現並不僅僅是因為特朗普的聲明。3月19日,隨著FOMC會議紀要的發布以及美聯儲主席鮑威爾確認美聯儲的量化緊縮政策將減緩,市場反應積極,並且2025年可能會有兩次降息的可能性仍然存在。

BitMEX的聯合創始人Arthur Hayes對美聯儲承認量化緊縮將在4月1日基本結束表示了勝利,但他警告說,雖然77,000美元可能是比特幣的底部,但意外的波動可能會導致股票和比特幣出現更多的痛苦。

Hayes表示:

「JAYPOW交付了,量化緊縮基本上在4月1日結束。我們需要真正看漲的下一步是SLR豁免或重新啟動量化寬鬆。比特幣77K是否是底部,可能是。但股市可能還有更多的痛苦,才能完全將Jay轉變為特朗普的支持者,所以保持靈活並準備好現金。」

根據Cointelegraph的報導,比特幣近期的價格波動主要受到期貨市場活動的驅動,但BTC Coinbase Premium的回歸可能是現貨需求回歸市場的跡象。

我的觀點

這篇文章揭示了比特幣市場的動態以及特朗普的聲明對市場情緒的影響。特朗普的言論雖然未能如預期般引發市場的強勁反彈,但他對美國成為加密貨幣領導者的願景仍然為市場注入了一定的信心。這反映出市場對政策變化的敏感性,尤其是在當前經濟環境下,投資者對未來的政策走向充滿期待。

此外,Hayes的觀點也提醒我們,儘管比特幣的價格可能在短期內出現回調,但長期的市場趨勢仍然值得關注。投資者應該保持靈活,隨時準備應對市場的波動。這種靈活性不僅能幫助投資者在不確定的市場中保護自己的資本,還能在機會出現時迅速行動,抓住潛在的利潤。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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