港股戰報|金蝶國際股價技術形態大變動解析




《AI》金蝶國際(00268.HK)出現「死亡交叉」技術圖表形態

金蝶國際(00268.HK)近日10天移動平均線跌穿20天移動平均線,形成所謂的「死亡交叉」技術形態。現價報12.320港元,跌幅1.124%,成交量達1510萬股,成交額約1.85億港元。近期股價表現不佳,過去3日跌3.9%,5日跌7.089%,10日累計跌幅達12.994%。昨日成交量為2820萬股,較過去5天的平均成交量3200萬股有所減少。技術分析顯示,短線走勢偏弱,投資者需謹慎留意後市發展。

《大行》里昂降金蝶國際目標價至15.4元 維持「跑贏大市」評級

里昂發表最新研究報告指出,金蝶國際於5月20日舉辦了Cosmic AI峰會,推出了嶄新的AI代理矩陣。其中,「金鈅財報」AI代理專為to-C用戶設計,採用固定價格體系,里昂認為目前推廣階段金蝶可能會提供免費試用或折扣優惠。與主要競爭對手相比,里昂對金蝶2025年上半年的業務前景仍持樂觀態度,並調整了預測,將目標價下調至15.4港元,但仍維持「跑贏大市」的評級。

《大行》中金列出恒生科指成份股調整及權重變動與被動資金變化預測(表)

中金公司最新報告指出,恒生指數公司於5月16日公布了恒生科技指數季度成份股調整,將於6月9日生效。此次調整中,比亞迪(01211.HK)被納入,權重達8%;閱文集團(00772.HK)則被剔除,剔除前權重為0.49%。成份股總數維持30隻不變。報告同時預測了相關的權重變化及被動資金流向,為投資者提供參考依據。

《港股》恒指收升29點 科技股回吐 領展彈高逾6%

國務院副總理何立峰訪問瑞士期間將與美國財長貝森特會談,同時中國人民銀行宣布下調存款準備金率0.5個百分點及政策利率0.1個百分點。消息刺激港股開高,恒生指數開市高升507點,盤中最高見23,197點,最終收報22,691點,上升29點或0.1%。國企指數下跌19點或0.2%,收8,242點;恒生科技指數回吐39點或0.8%,收5,200點。大市成交額活躍。

《AI》金蝶國際(00268.HK)出現「趨勢逆轉」技術圖表形態

金蝶國際股價近期出現趨勢逆轉信號。現價報13.720港元,跌幅2.279%,成交量達2380萬股,成交額3.34億港元。股價過去3日上升4.097%,5日升13.953%,10日累計漲幅達16.271%。昨日成交量為4990萬股,高於過去5天平均的3950萬股。技術分析指出,趨勢逆轉形態結合了烏雲蓋頂等多種指標,暗示股價可能由跌轉升,投資者可密切關注後續走勢。

《AI》金蝶國際(00268.HK)出現「黃金交叉」技術圖表形態

金蝶國際近期股價出現「黃金交叉」形態,10天移動平均線上穿20天移動平均線,為技術分析中看多的信號。現價報13.500港元,升1.5%,成交量1200萬股,成交額1.62億港元。過去3日股價累計升2.5%,5日升5%,10日升10%。昨日成交量3000萬股,高於過去5天平均2500萬股。技術分析認為此形態有助確認短中期上升趨勢。

工信部:首季軟件業利潤總額按年增11.6%

中國工業和信息化部公布數據顯示,今年首季度軟件行業利潤總額同比增長11.6%,反映出軟件產業持續保持良好發展態勢,為相關企業帶來積極經濟效益。

《港股》恒指收升70點 百度漲近4% 晶片股走軟

恒生指數近日收報上升70點,百度股價上漲近4%,帶動市場氣氛回暖。不過,晶片板塊表現疲弱,出現回吐,投資者情緒有所分化。

《大行》中金列出內地主動偏股型基金首季重倉港股情況(表)

中金發布報告,詳細列出內地偏股型主動基金於今年首季度重倉持有的港股情況,為投資者提供資金流向及市場關注焦點的深入分析。

《大行》美銀證券料內地軟件公司受關稅影響有限

美銀證券發表最新研究,認為內地軟件公司受美國關稅政策影響有限,預計其業務及盈利將保持穩定增長,絕大多數風險已被市場消化。

【編輯評論】

金蝶國際近期股價技術圖表呈現多變態勢,從「死亡交叉」到「黃金交叉」和「趨勢逆轉」的多重信號交織,反映市場對其未來走勢存在高度分歧。死亡交叉通常被視為短期賣出信號,顯示市場對其短期表現較為謹慎;然而,隨後出現的黃金交叉和趨勢逆轉則暗示中長線有望轉強,尤其是在公司積極推進AI產品和技術創新的背景下。這種技術圖形的反覆波動,正好映射出投資者對金蝶國際在人工智能領域布局的期待與疑慮並存。

另外,里昂維持「跑贏大市」的評級,並調整目標價,顯示大行對金蝶的信心仍然穩固,特別是在AI代理和to-C用戶市場的拓展上。這與工信部軟件行業整體利潤增長11.6%的宏觀利好相呼應,顯示行業仍有強勁支撐。恒生科技指數的調整,也可能為金蝶帶來被動資金流入的機會,值得關注。

然而,市場短期波動不容忽視,尤其在全球經濟及地緣政治不確定性加劇的背景下,投資者需保持謹慎。金蝶國際作為中國軟件及雲服務行業的龍頭企業,其股價波動不僅反映公司自身業績與技術創新,也折射出整個科技板塊的風險與機遇。未來,金蝶如何在AI技術應用和市場拓展上持續發力,將是左右其股價走勢的關鍵。

總括而言,金蝶國際目前正處於一個技術與市場期待交錯的關鍵節點,投資者應該從多角度審視其基本面與技術面,靈活調整投資策略,抓住可能的反彈機會,同時防範市場波動風險。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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