港股戰報|比亞迪電子:大行紛紛下調目標價,前景堪憂?




《大行》招銀國際削比亞迪電子目標價至43.22元 下調每股盈測
招銀國際發表最新研報指出,比亞迪電子(00285.HK)於周一(28日)股價大跌8%,主因今年第一季度財報表現平平,受到高端智能手機需求疲弱及蘋果(AAPL.US)組裝業務面臨潛在關稅壓力拖累。招銀國際表示,比亞迪電子首季盈利達到該行及市場全年預測的10%及11%,與去年及2023年同期的14%及11%大致相符。基於此,招銀國際調低了比亞迪電子的盈利預測及目標價至43.22港元。

美商務部長:蘋果庫克冀以機械手臂技術在美國組裝iPhone
美國商務部長盧特尼克引述蘋果行政總裁庫克的話,庫克希望未來能在美國生產iPhone,但前提是必須採用機械手臂技術。蘋果不希望大量聘請員工,以避免增加經營風險。盧特尼克強調,不希望在美國出現以人力為主的裝配廠,而是希望美國人能成為推動工廠發展的技術人員,透過AI工業革命獲取高薪工作。

《大行》美銀降比亞迪電子目標價至43元 重申「買入」評級
美銀證券發表研究報告指,比亞迪電子首季銷售和盈利按年保持穩定,毛利率按季上升0.4個百分點,但因外殼產品銷售下降,按年跌0.6個百分點至6.3%。首季毛利率疲弱主要由於蘋果及安卓客戶對高端外殼需求減弱,但預期第二季有望改善。比亞迪電子管理層表示2026年將是公司發展的重要一年,並看好未來增長潛力。美銀因此維持「買入」評級,目標價調低至43港元。

《大行》里昂削比亞迪電子目標價至38.9元 下調今明財年盈測
里昂發表研報指,比亞迪電子2025財年第一季淨利潤僅按年增長2%,主要因高利潤金屬外殼業務需求放緩,受去年高基數影響。管理層預計第二季度金屬外殼收入將按季增長,對今年整體持樂觀態度,受汽車業務強勁增長及捷普(Jabil)相關業務盈利能力改善推動。關稅影響有限,因公司有海外生產基地。里昂維持對比亞迪電子的正面評價,但下調今明兩年的盈利預測及目標價至38.9港元。

《藍籌》比亞迪電子首季純利6.2億元人民幣 按年升1.9%
比亞迪電子公布首季純利為6.2億元人民幣,較去年同期增長1.9%。

### 編輯評論與觀點

從多間大行的報告可見,比亞迪電子近期面臨的挑戰主要來自高端智能手機市場需求疲軟,尤其是蘋果組裝業務的潛在關稅風險,令市場對其短期盈利能力有所擔憂。儘管如此,管理層對中長期發展仍持樂觀態度,特別是看好2026年及汽車電子業務的強勁增長潛力。

值得注意的是,美國方面推動自動化生產及AI技術應用,蘋果CEO庫克強調機械手臂技術的重要性,這或將改變未來電子組裝產業的生態。比亞迪電子作為代工巨頭,如何應對這種技術轉型及全球供應鏈調整,是其未來能否持續領先的關鍵。

此外,不同券商對比亞迪電子目標價的調整顯示市場對其短期盈利增長的謹慎態度,這反映出投資者需密切留意其產品組合調整及新技術應用的推進情況。對香港及內地投資者來說,這是一次重新評估比亞迪電子投資價值和風險的好機會。

總結來說,比亞迪電子正處於行業轉型的關鍵期,短期挑戰與長期機遇並存。投資者應密切關注其技術革新和市場需求變化,尤其是汽車電子業務的表現,這將成為其未來增長的重要引擎。

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