洛杉磯火災損失預估高達350億美元!




Verisk估計洛杉磯火災保險財產損失介乎280億至350億美元

全球數據分析公司Verisk(納斯達克股票代碼:VRSK)預測,來自Palisades和Eaton火災的保險財產損失將介乎280億至350億美元,這是業界最高的損失預估之一。位於洛杉磯西側的Palisades火災預計將造成200億至250億美元的損失,而位於東部的Eaton火災則可能導致80億至100億美元的損失。

這兩場火災已被認為是洛杉磯歷史上最具破壞性的災難。此次災害預計將為美國和歐洲的保險公司帶來數十億美元的災難相關索賠,可能成為加州有史以來最昂貴的災害。花旗銀行早前警告,歐洲四大再保險公司——慕尼黑再保險、瑞士再保險(OTC:SSREY)、漢諾威再保險(OTC:HVRRY)和Scor(EPA:SCOR)——在年初的前兩周已經用掉了約三分之一的天然災害預算。

洛杉磯的火災摧毀了數百棟房屋,並將消防資源和水源推向極限,這對保險公司的災難索賠預算又是一大打擊。這些保險公司在過去幾年中一直在應對來自多場野火和其他自然災害的索賠上升。

Verisk的極端事件解決方案小組估計,大多數損失主要來自住宅風險。Palisades火災影響的地區擁有全美最高的房產價值,保單持有人面臨大量內容損失,包括珠寶、藝術品和其他奢侈品。

Verisk的損失預估並不包括煙霧損害、Hurst火災或本月內其他火災造成的損失,亦不包括因訴訟、詐騙利益轉讓或社會通脹而加重的損失、保證替代成本保障的損失、法令或法律保障的損失、無保險財產的損失、基礎設施損失、額外合同責任損失、危險廢物清理損失、破壞或民事動亂造成的損失,以及損失調整費用。

在1月2日,Verisk宣布成為首家要求對其美國野火模型進行審查的模型提供商,這是加州保險專員Ricardo Lara所推行的「首創」災難建模和定價規範的一部分,這是其可持續保險策略的核心部分。截至1月16日,Verisk的模型審查請求已獲加州保險部批准,這標誌著下一步和正式審查的開始。加州的災難模型使用預計將為消費者、保險公司和監管機構提供對自然災害風險的更深入見解,並提高全州的保險可用性。

這一事件反映出,加州面對的自然災害風險不斷上升,保險行業亟需調整其風險管理策略。隨著氣候變化的影響日益加劇,未來的保險產品和政策必須更加靈活,以應對日益頻繁和嚴重的災難事件。這不僅需要保險公司重新評估其風險模型,也要求監管機構在制定政策時考慮更全面的風險評估。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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Use the original face exactly as it is, without changing a details. A full-body photograph of a glamorous female model in a vibrant, retro 1950s pin-up style bikini. The lighting should be bright, sunny, and highly saturated, evocative of a vintage summer advertisement or a pop art aesthetic.
Model & Outfit:
• Model: A slender woman with a confident, slightly posed expression.
• Hair & Accessories: A white and blue patterned headband tied in a bow. Bold, dark cat-eye sunglasses. Large gold hoop earrings and thick, stacked gold bangle bracelets on both wrists. Bright red lipstick.
• Swimwear: A two-piece retro bikini with a high-waisted bottom and a halter-neck top. The top is turquoise/teal with white polka dots, featuring a large bow detail at the bust. The bottom is a contrasting, high-rise, ruched style in pale peach or coral with small dark polka dots.
Setting & Composition:
• Location: A mid-century modern-style poolside scene on a bright sunny day.
• Background Details: A sparkling blue swimming pool, several brightly colored lounge chairs (yellow, teal, pink), and large beach umbrellas (striped orange and white). There are large, bright flotation devices (yellow, teal, orange inner tube) scattered around the edge of the pool.
• Composition: Vertical, full-body shot. The model is centered, and the background is slightly blurred (shallow depth of field) to keep the focus on the model.
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• Vibrant, High Saturation, Retro Summer, 1950s Pin-up, Mid-Century Modern, Pop Art, Poolside Glamour, Commercial Photography, Magazine Ad, Halter Bikini, High-Waisted, Sunny Day. Create a hyper-realistic promo image using my uploaded photo.  
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Place my portrait seamlessly inside the design of the US 100-dollar bill, maintaining the texture and engraving lines.  
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Ultra HD, crisp details, cinematic lighting, clean background, premium quality Prompt (Enhanced, Artistic & Detailed):

A young Asian female inspired by "Imada Mio's" delicate doll-like aesthetic (精緻洋娃娃臉), featuring extraordinarily large, round, and soulful eyes with subtle brown irises, framed by long fluttering lashes. Her face is petite and exquisitely shaped with a defined V-line jaw, soft rosy cheeks flushed with youthful vitality, and plush, natural lips softly parted in a gentle, innocent yet slightly flirtatious expression. Her complexion is luminous and porcelain-smooth.

Her hair is long, dark chocolate brown, and styled in an artfully messy “just woke up” look (剛睡醒的凌亂感), with tousled waves and a touch of natural volume that frames her face and cascades down her shoulders, effortlessly blending wildness and charm.

She wears an oversized, semi-sheer white button-down shirt in a borrowed-from-the-boyfriend style (男友風白襯衫); the shirt slips loosely off her slim shoulders, unbuttoned at the top to reveal graceful collarbones and a hint of décolleté. The hem of the shirt falls mid-thigh, creating a tasteful "bottomless" look (下衣失蹤風格), her bare legs just visible beneath the diaphanous fabric, enhancing a pure yet subtly sexy visual impact.

The image is rendered with a high-key, natural daylight aesthetic reminiscent of Japanese gravure photobooks (寫真集風格): bright, airy lighting softly illuminates her features, casting gentle highlights and diffuse shadows for a dreamy, ethereal effect. Skin is rendered creamy and velvety with impeccable smoothness. The color palette echoes Fujifilm PRO 400H—soft, milky tones with delicate pastels, gentle greens, natural skin, and a nostalgic film grain that adds warmth and authenticity, evoking an elegant, fresh, and intimate atmosphere.

She is posed naturally, perhaps seated on light bed linens or by a sunlit window, exuding a blend of youthful innocence, pure allure, and quiet confidence. Hyper-detailed, cinematic composition, fine-tuned for photorealism yet with a subtle artistic charm.