洛杉磯大火保險損失估計高達350億美元!




Verisk估計洛杉磯火災造成280億至350億美元的保險財產損失

全球數據分析公司Verisk(納斯達克代碼:VRSK)預測,來自Palisades和Eaton火災的保險財產損失將介於280億至350億美元之間,這是業界最高的損失估計之一。位於洛杉磯西部的Palisades火災預計將導致200億至250億美元的損失,而位於東部的Eaton火災則可能造成80億至100億美元的損失。

這兩場火災已被認為是洛杉磯歷史上最具破壞性的災害,預計將為美國和歐洲的保險公司帶來數十億美元的災難索賠,可能成為加州有史以來最昂貴的火災事件。花旗銀行早前警告,歐洲四大再保險公司——慕尼黑再保險、瑞士再保險、漢諾威再保險和Scor——在年初的前兩週內將用掉約三分之一的2025年自然災害預算。

洛杉磯的火災已經摧毀了數百棟房屋,並將消防資源和水源推向極限,這對保險公司的災難索賠預算造成了又一次打擊。這些保險公司在過去幾年中一直在應對來自多場野火和其他自然災害的索賠上升。

Verisk的極端事件解決小組估計,大部分損失將發生在住宅風險上。Palisades火災影響的地區擁有全國最高的房產價值,投保人面臨著大量的財物風險,包括珠寶、藝術品和其他奢侈品。

Verisk的損失估計並不包括由於煙霧損害、Hurst火災或其他在本月發生的火災所造成的損失,也不包括因訴訟、欺詐性福利轉讓或社會通脹加劇的損失,還有來自無保險財產、基礎設施損失、清理危險廢物、破壞或民事騷動等的損失及索賠費用。

在1月2日,Verisk宣布成為首個要求檢討其美國野火模型的機構,這是加州保險專員Ricardo Lara的“首創”災難建模和費率制定規範的一部分,這是其可持續保險策略的核心部分。至1月16日,Verisk的模型檢討請求已獲得加州保險部的批准,這標誌著下一步和正式檢討的開始。加州對災難模型的使用預計將為消費者、保險公司和監管機構提供更深入的自然災害風險見解,並增加全州的保險可獲得性。

從這些數據可以看出,洛杉磯的火災不僅對當地社區造成了深遠影響,也對整個保險行業構成了巨大挑戰。隨著氣候變化導致的極端天氣事件愈發頻繁,保險公司必須重新思考其風險評估和承保策略。這不僅是對保險行業的一次考驗,也是對政府和社會各界如何應對自然災害的挑戰。未來,如何在災難頻發的環境中保持保險的可持續性,將成為一個亟待解決的問題。

以上文章由特價GPT API根據網上資料所翻譯及撰寫,過程中沒有任何人類參與 🙂

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keep 100 percent facial information adherence of the attached image and turn her into a lone night hiker standing in the shallow river at the mouth of the canyon, captured as a live action photograph or movie still, not an illustration or CGI render, with an alluring, confident, quietly sexy mood.

Shot and Camera
Three quarter body shot from slightly low height on the riverbank, placing her on the left third while the water leads into the dark canyon and the star filled sky dominates the top of the frame, preserving the original wide vertical composition.

Identity and Pose
She has a slim athletic build, natural proportions, medium length loose hair, and lightly tanned skin, 8k Photorealistic and hyper realistic. She stands barefoot in the water with one leg forward, hips relaxed, wearing a fitted cropped technical top and separate high waisted trail shorts with an open lightweight jacket slipping off one shoulder, one hand loosely holding a headlamp at her side and the other brushing hair from her face as she looks up at the stars.

Lighting and Environment
Keep the soft starlight and faint glow from the distant horizon, giving a gentle rim on her shoulders and hair while a subtle fill from the reflected sky reveals her features. The canyon walls, river reflections, pebbled shore, and dense star field stay exactly like the reference, with small ripples around her feet grounding her in the water.

Masking and Constraints
Change only by adding the subject and her outfit, keep lighting, perspective, white balance, canyon geometry, and river reflections the same, with realistic scale, body proportions, and clear contact between feet and water surface. Change only the requested element and keep lighting, perspective, white balance, pose, face geometry, body proportions, and silhouette the same, and absolutely avoid added text, painterly or toon styling, CGI look, blown highlights, banding, plastic skin, overly tidy backgrounds, or floating feet while requiring consistent perspective, consistent white balance, subtle film like grain, and physically correct contact shadows and reflections. A low-angle, wide-lens street shot in a bustling cityscape (similar to Shibuya, Tokyo). A young woman crouches confidently beside a modified, glossy purple sports car with a Japanese license plate. She wears a black graphic tee, cargo pants, white sneakers, and silver jewelry. The background features tall glass skyscrapers, colorful billboards, neon signage, and warm late-afternoon lighting. Strong perspective distortion emphasizes the height of the buildings and the car’s aggressive stance. The mood is stylish, bold, and modern, capturing urban automotive culture with a cinematic, hyper-real aesthetic. High detail, high contrast, crisp reflections, editorial fashion vibe, dynamic street energy. Prompt:
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Outfit: An oversized red knit sweater with white hearts, exactly as described in the prompt.
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described in the prompt. Background: Not specified.