油氣業前景黯淡,Emerson評級被降,股價插水!




埃默森電氣被巴克萊降級,反映工業前景的謹慎態度

埃默森電氣公司(NYSE: EMR)最近被巴克萊分析師從“持平”下調至“減持”,這反映出對整體工業前景的謹慎看法。該公司的股價在開盤前下跌了6.4%。

這次降級的原因在於,隨著宏觀經濟不確定性、政策風險及持續高企的利率,使得對工業資本支出的擔憂加劇。巴克萊分析師指出,埃默森在石油和天然氣行業的曝光度是他們降級決定的關鍵因素。

報告中提到,石油和天然氣行業的資本支出預計在未來幾年將會下降,康菲石油(NYSE: COP)預測其資本支出在2025年將達到高峰,隨後在2025年至2028年間將下降超過10%。這一支出減少可能會影響埃默森的收入和利潤率,因為該公司對這一行業的依賴性較高。

報告還指出,工業資本支出的整體疲軟情況因政策不確定性加劇及持續高利率而變得更加明顯。這些條件使企業在固定資產和產能擴張方面的投資變得謹慎。此外,交貨時間的縮短和潛在關稅影響也為多行業帶來了額外的挑戰。

因此,巴克萊還降低了多個與工業資本支出相關的股票的價格目標,包括埃默森、蓋茨工業(NYSE: GTES)、羅克韋爾自動化(NYSE: ROK)及瑞吉爾·雷克斯諾德(NYSE: ZWS)。

儘管整體市場仍然處於變化之中,巴克萊分析師表示,他們對多行業的立場仍持中立。然而,在這一廣泛類別中,由於埃默森對石油和天然氣的依賴以及盈利預期可能持續下調,該公司的前景顯得特別薄弱。

華爾街對埃默森的共識情緒依然正面

儘管被降級,華爾街對埃默森的共識情緒仍然相對正面,75%的分析師仍然給予“買入”評級。然而,巴克萊的評估表明,市場的樂觀情緒可能未能充分反映工業資本支出及能源相關支出所面臨的風險。

該券商將埃默森的價格目標從135美元下調至110美元,降幅達19%,同時對未來幾年的每股收益預測也做了小幅下調。

埃默森:牛市還是熊市的投資選擇?

在當前經濟環境下,埃默森的狀況引發了投資者的深思。公司對石油和天然氣行業的依賴使其在即將到來的經濟挑戰中顯得脆弱。即使華爾街仍然持有正面看法,但市場的動盪和資本支出的不確定性可能會影響到其長期表現。

投資者需謹慎評估埃默森的未來潛力,特別是在整體工業市場不穩定的情況下。是否繼續持有這隻股票,將取決於對未來經濟走勢及行業變化的判斷。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。

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