比特幣ETF資金流出創新高,十年期美債更具吸引力

美國比特幣ETF單日創下超過9.3億美元的紀錄流出,套利交易因10年期國債而失去吸引力

投資者於星期二從比特幣和以太坊的現貨ETF中撤回資金,因為CME期貨的基差減少,削弱了套利交易的吸引力。

根據Omkar Godbole的報導,星期二對加密貨幣市場來說是艱難的一天,比特幣(BTC)跌至三個月以來的低點,低於87,000美元,拖累整個市場。更重要的是,投資者以空前的速度從美國上市的現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)中撤回資金。

根據SoSoValue的數據,11隻現貨ETF的累計淨流出達到9.3778億美元,這是自2024年1月這些基金開始交易以來,單日贖回的最大額度。

在這些ETF中,Fidelity的FBTC流出最多,達到3.4465億美元,其次是黑石集團的IBIT流出1.6437億美元。其餘基金的流出均低於1億美元。

這些ETF的需求減弱可能與CME上市的比特幣期貨溢價下降有關,這削弱了現金和套利交易的吸引力。此外,這些BTC和ETH的套利交易現在幾乎與美國10年期國債的收益率相當,後者在報導時的收益率為4.32%。

這一策略自去年初以來受到機構的青睞,涉及購買現貨ETF並同時賣出CME期貨,以賺取溢價,同時避免價格方向的風險。

根據Velo Data的數據,星期二CME比特幣期貨的年化一個月基差(溢價)降至4%,是近兩年來的最低點,並且比12月的近15%大幅下降。換句話說,現金和套利策略的收益在兩個月內大幅下降。

以太坊期貨的基差也急劇下降至約5%。美國上市的現貨以太坊ETF在星期二的總流出達到5000萬美元。

這一情況反映出市場對加密貨幣ETF的信心正在減弱,尤其是在套利交易的吸引力下降的背景下。隨著投資者對於比特幣和以太坊的前景感到不安,未來的市場走向可能會受到更大的影響。這也突顯了加密市場對於傳統金融產品的競爭,特別是當這些產品的收益率相對較高時,投資者可能會重新考慮他們的資金配置策略。

在這樣的市場環境下,投資者需要更加謹慎,並考慮多元化的投資策略,以應對潛在的風險和市場波動。

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