比特幣ETF將成為十年內最大基金




BlackRock的比特幣ETF將成為十年內全球最大的ETF,Michael Saylor表示

美國的比特幣ETF在過去五個交易日內吸引了28億美元的淨流入。

根據報導,過去五個交易日內,美國現貨比特幣(BTC)ETF錄得約28億美元的淨流入,推動比特幣的價格從約85,000美元上升至94,000美元。其中,iShares比特幣信託(IBIT)獨自貢獻了13億美元的流入。

IBIT的市場表現

Michael Saylor,作為最大上市比特幣持有者Strategy(MSTR)的主席,表示「IBIT將在十年內成為全球最大的ETF」。Saylor是在比特幣標準公司的投資者日活動上發表此言論的。

為了更好地理解這一情況,IBIT目前的市值為540億美元,而在周四的交易中,成交量超過15億美元。相比之下,市值最大的ETF,即Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO),市值為5935億美元,超過IBIT的十倍。

Bloomberg的高級ETF分析師Eric Balchunas承認IBIT成為最大ETF的可能性,但他強調這將是非凡的成就。他表示:「這是有可能的,尤其是如果IBIT的資金流入超過VOO,但這需要每天的流入量遠超過10億美元,更可能在30到40億美元之間,才能縮小差距。簡而言之,必須發生一些非凡的事情,但這是可能的。」

市場風險偏好上升

同時,比特幣ETF的年化基差交易,投資者在ETF上做多並在CME比特幣期貨上做空,已上升至接近10%,而在四月初時為5%。這一增長,加上過去一周期貨未平倉合約增加了2000 BTC,表明部分淨ETF流入可能不僅僅是方向性押注,而是基差交易的一部分。

這些數據顯示出市場對比特幣的風險偏好正在上升,隨著資金流入的增加,投資者的信心也在增強。這不僅反映了比特幣作為資產的吸引力,也顯示出市場對未來可能出現的價格走勢的期待。

在這樣的背景下,IBIT的未來發展值得關注。若能持續吸引大量資金流入,IBIT的市值或許能在未來的競爭中迎頭趕上,甚至超越目前的市場領導者。這不僅是對比特幣市場的重要指標,也可能對整個金融市場的資金流動性和風險評估產生深遠影響。

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