比特幣 dominance 回升60%!山寨幣跌勢未止?




比特幣主導地位回升至60%以上,山寨幣持續下滑

根據CoinMarketCap的數據,比特幣的價格在過去七天內下跌了約7.3%,但表現優於大多數山寨幣。

比特幣的主導地位——衡量比特幣在整個加密貨幣市場市值中的份額——在2月2日突破60%,這一變化發生在加密市場普遍下滑的背景下,主要是因為美國總統特朗普的貿易關稅政策。

山寨幣受到的影響最為嚴重,根據CoinMarketCap的數據,以太坊在過去七天內下跌了約9.3%,XRP下跌了13.8%,而索拉納則在過去一周內下跌了約19.3%。

特朗普總統新施加的關稅包括對來自加拿大的進口商品徵收25%的稅,對來自墨西哥的所有產品徵收25%的稅,以及對來自中國的所有商品徵收10%的稅,這引發了這些國家的反制關稅。

由於擔心貿易戰引發的通脹上升,並預測2025年大部分時間內利率會高企,投資者紛紛逃離風險資產,轉向美國國債。

目前比特幣的主導地位為60.59%。來源:TradingView

短期內可能面臨更多痛苦

根據交易員和分析師Van Nuener的說法,加密市場可能在2月2日美國期貨市場開盤後再次下跌。

“期貨可能會開盤下跌,這可能會導致加密市場也跟著下滑,”Nuener在社交媒體上警告其追隨者。

BitMEX的共同創始人Arthur Hayes在2024年12月的一篇文章中預測,特朗普總統就職時將會出現加密貨幣的拋售。

Hayes認為,圍繞親加密總統當選的樂觀情緒會在交易者意識到通過加密法規需要時間的時候消退,這並不是一朝一夕的事情。

Bitget Research的首席分析師Ryan Lee最近預測,比特幣在短期內可能會修正至95,000美元的價格水平。

這位分析師告訴Cointelegraph,宏觀經濟因素,包括勞動力統計和聯邦儲備政策,將在未來幾周內對比特幣的價格產生關鍵影響。

特朗普的關稅政策正值美國科技股和加密市場因DeepSeek R1的發布而出現下滑之際——這是一個由中國開發和訓練的開源AI模型。

DeepSeek R1發布後納斯達克100指數崩潰。來源:TradingView

根據DeepSeek的白皮書,該模型的表現與領先的OpenAI模型相當,但使用舊的計算硬件訓練的成本卻低得多。

DeepSeek的推出被形容為一個黑天鵝事件,促使特朗普政府考慮對Nvidia對中國的銷售施加更嚴格的出口限制,這進一步加劇了金融市場的不確定性。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決策時應進行自己的研究。

在當前的市場環境下,比特幣的主導地位回升反映了投資者對於風險資產的避險行為。隨著特朗普的貿易政策引發的市場波動,加密貨幣的未來走向似乎充滿不確定性。特別是DeepSeek R1的發布,可能會對整個科技和金融市場造成深遠影響,這不僅是技術上的挑戰,更是政策上的考驗。投資者需要更加謹慎,並關注宏觀經濟的變化,因為這將直接影響他們的投資決策。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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