比特幣面臨$50K挑戰,聯儲注入$135億流動性




比特幣挑戰$50K價格目標,聯儲局注入$135億流動性
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隨著美國聯邦儲備局(Fed)注入$135億流動性,比特幣在週二獲得了一個經典的宏觀牛市信號。

主要要點:

* 聯儲局的流動性操作向加密貨幣和風險資產發出了明確的訊息,12月1日的總額與COVID-19時期相當。
* 儘管有關日本的傳聞,市場仍然預期利率將會下降。
* 分析警告比特幣可能仍然是主要風險資產“回歸”的領先指標。

聯儲局的回購數據超過網絡泡沫
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根據分析平台Barchart的數據,聯儲局的最新數據顯示,最近一輪量化緊縮(QT)已經突然結束。

隨著聯儲局本月正式停止縮減資產負債表,比特幣和風險資產可以享受新的流動性衝擊。

最新的數據顯示,週二有$135億的流動性進入了銀行系統,這一數字在COVID-19疫情開始以來是第二大的一次性流動性注入。

“可能沒問題,繼續吧,”該平台評論道,並指出這一總額甚至超過了網絡泡沫的高峰。

這一舉動正值全球中央銀行在2025年進行寬鬆的關鍵時期。正如Cointelegraph報導的那樣,對日本金融穩定性的擔憂導致市場押注該國中央銀行本月將收緊政策。

與此同時,市場預期聯儲局將在12月10日的會議上減息,並在明年繼續這一趨勢,這對風險資產的流動性至關重要。

“12月歷來是市場最強的月份之一,上行動能強勁,”交易資源Kobeissi Letter在週二關於美國股市的報告中寫道。

> “多頭掌控局面。”

比特幣面臨風險資產“回歸”的下行壓力
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儘管對股市能夠利用2025年現有的收益感到樂觀,但加密貨幣在愈發看跌的情況下仍然出現分歧。

對於Bloomberg Intelligence的高級商品策略師Mike McGlone來說,這可能預示著風險資產的前景不妙。

“極端的股市自滿可能暗示風險資產會進一步下行,而比特幣可能會引領這一趨勢,”他在週一告訴X平台的追隨者。

McGlone利用比特幣與黃金的歷史估值來預測“回歸”下行。如果BTC/USD的交易價格應該約為XAU/USD的13倍,那麼比特幣的價格將略高於$50,000。

“根據Bloomberg經濟學的模型,12月1日的比特幣/黃金交叉的公平價值接近13倍,而這也是達到該價位的一個重要原因——標普500的120天波動率接近自2017年以來的最低年末水平,”他報告道。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都有風險,讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。

在當前的市場環境中,比特幣的價格波動顯示出其作為風險資產的敏感性,尤其是在全球經濟不確定性加劇的背景下。聯儲局的流動性注入雖然短期內可能為市場帶來支持,但長期來看,投資者仍需警惕可能的回調風險。比特幣的表現是否能夠持續吸引資金,將取決於市場對於風險的態度以及全球經濟形勢的變化。這也提醒我們,無論市場多麼看漲,風險管理始終是投資策略中不可或缺的一部分。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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