比特幣面臨100K「投降」危機,波動性加劇

比特幣開始$100K的“放棄”階段,BTC價格指標出現大幅波動

比特幣在十月份下跌近4%,隨著ETF資金流出結束了這個月,但Bollinger Bands顯示BTC價格波動的機率達到歷史新高。

市場更新

**關鍵要點:**

* 比特幣在十月份的表現為自2018年以來最差,交易者對前景變得謹慎。
* ETF資金流出再次出現,衍生品交易者在宏觀環境利好下對風險進行對沖。
* Bollinger Bands數據顯示,BTC價格波動即將回歸。

比特幣在周六的交易中約為$110,000,交易者在“Uptober”未能實現預期後保持看空。

比特幣需求“疲弱”結束Uptober

來自Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的數據顯示,BTC價格正在回補周五華爾街交易會議的損失。這一過程始於賣壓——這是本周的一個常見現象——涉及美國交易所和現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETFs)。

鏈上分析平台Glassnode表示,ETF資金流出突顯了“來自傳統金融投資者的賣壓上升以及機構需求的重新疲弱”。

來自英國投資公司Farside Investors的數據顯示,周五的資金流出總額為$191百萬,這是在周四的$488百萬流出之後。

Glassnode指出,市場對美國聯邦儲備局的利率下調未能給予足夠重視。儘管美聯儲如預期下調了利率,但對12月的鷹派語氣冷卻了市場的樂觀情緒。

“初始的反彈消退,交易者重新回到謹慎模式,這一變化在BTC的期權市場中明顯可見。”

交易者同樣保持謹慎,加密貨幣投資者和企業家Ted Pillows稱目前的比特幣形勢為“基於時間的放棄”。

“比特幣的基於時間的放棄正在發生。但為此,比特幣需要在$100,000以上進行整合,”他在周五警告說。“若周線收盤低於此水平,將確認下行趨勢。”

交易者Daan Crypto Trades則表示,真正的價格變動只有在BTC價格明確突破其當前範圍的上下邊界時才會發生。關鍵的兩個關注水平分別為$107,000和$116,000。

Bollinger Bands預示BTC價格波動即將到來

十月份的月度燭台為BTC/USD帶來了令人失望的3.7%損失,這是自2018年以來最差的結果。

如Cointelegraph報導,11月份通常是比特幣表現最佳的月份,自2013年以來數據顯示其平均上漲42.5%。

評論員Matthew Hyland補充說,Bollinger Bands波動指標持續暗示記錄級別的波動即將來臨。

“每月Bollinger Bands已達到比特幣歷史上最極端的水平,”他在社交媒體上寫道。

Bollinger Band的收窄早已引起市場參與者的注意。上個月,該指標的創造者John Bollinger表示,市場即將“需要關注”比特幣和主要山寨幣的波動性。

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。

在當前的加密貨幣市場中,比特幣的表現令人擔憂,尤其是在十月份的表現如此不佳,這讓許多投資者感到焦慮。市場的波動性和不確定性使得投資者需謹慎行事,尤其是在面對即將到來的11月,歷史數據顯示這是比特幣的最佳表現月份。這種矛盾的情況促使我們思考,是否市場的情緒和基本面會在未來幾周內發生變化,特別是在全球經濟環境仍然不穩定的情況下。投資者需要密切關注市場動態,並準備好應對可能的劇烈波動。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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