比特幣面臨重測92K美元風險




比特幣面臨92,000美元下方的重新測試,因為BTC價格未能跟上4%的黃金漲幅

比特幣再次落後於不斷上漲的黃金,因為宏觀經濟環境持續帶來驚喜,而接近90,000美元的水平可能是下一個目標。

**市場更新**

比特幣(BTC)在5月6日華爾街開盤前,面臨本月新低,因為“無方向”的加密貨幣市場與黃金的反彈形成對比。

**分析:比特幣和加密貨幣“基本上無方向”**

來自Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的數據顯示,比特幣價格在最新的每日收盤前停滯在95,000美元附近。隨著接近93,500美元的關鍵年度開盤支撐位,BTC/USD似乎陷入了僵局,而黃金則重新表現出色。

在撰寫時,黃金(XAU/USD)當日上漲1.5%,本周累計漲幅已達4.4%。

交易公司QCP Capital在其最新的公告中指出,加密貨幣的隱含波動性仍然受到壓制,前端偏差回歸中性,現貨市場則大致無方向。QCP提到,美元持平,尤其是台幣等新興市場貨幣隨著黃金的上漲而上漲。

同時,外匯市場的波動與黃金的近3%漲幅相吻合,因為投資者傾向於弱美元的敘事,並將地緣政治風險溢價納入考量,包括美國貿易外交的潛在影響。

隨著比特幣尚未跟隨黃金的步伐,QCP預見到一個“越來越二元”的下一階段,其中一種結果是比特幣“脫離黃金的避險需求,重新與更廣泛的風險代理相關聯”。

在其自身的分析中,交易資源Kobeissi Letter則認為“先是黃金,然後是比特幣”的敘事依然存在。該報告指出,在4月7日至21日之間,黃金上漲了15%,比特幣也隨之上漲12%。

“對去中心化和防通脹資產的需求強勁。持續關注這一趨勢。”

**MACD指標讓比特幣多頭思考**

技術數據分析顯示,比特幣交易者認為BTC/USD可能在更廣泛的反彈中暫時停頓。這一點可以從移動平均收斂/擴散(MACD)指標中看出,該指標在長短期內發出了矛盾的信號。

流行交易者Dave The Wave透露,週MACD發出了看漲信號,而日線行為則確認了在零線以下的看跌交叉。

他的帖子提到,本周的關鍵宏觀事件是聯邦儲備會議,將於5月7日決定利率變動。

在此之前,交易資源Material Indicators的聯合創始人Keith Alan警告說,年度開盤不太可能作為支撐。

“總結來說,如果年度開盤能夠持住,我會感到驚喜。”他在社交媒體上表示。

“我準備好面對88,000-90,000美元的價格區間,但我認為本周91,600美元的水平大約在21日均線附近是可能的目標。”

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決策時應進行自己的研究。

**評論:**

目前比特幣的市場表現顯示出其在宏觀經濟環境下的脆弱性。隨著黃金的強勁表現,投資者似乎對比特幣的信心有所減弱,這可能是因為市場對於通脹和地緣政治風險的擔憂加劇。在這樣的背景下,比特幣是否能夠重新獲得投資者的青睞,將取決於其能否有效地與黃金的避險屬性相結合,並在即將到來的聯儲會議後展現出更強的價格動能。這不僅是對比特幣的考驗,也是對整個加密貨幣市場的挑戰。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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