比特幣零售與大戶分歧警號解析




比特幣鯨魚與散戶之間的「重大分歧」是警告信號:Santiment

根據情緒分析平台Santiment的報告,比特幣的散戶與鯨魚之間的分歧是一個閃爍的警告信號,雖然其他分析師預測在宏觀經濟反彈的情況下將會出現新高。

比特幣散戶投資者在鯨魚拋售的同時積極購買比特幣,這一模式若依歷史來看,可能會對資產價格造成困擾。

Santiment指出,自10月12日以來,持有10到10,000 BTC的比特幣鯨魚已經拋售了約32,500個比特幣。然而,Santiment補充說,「小型散戶錢包則在積極買入這一價格下跌的比特幣。」

比特幣在大型和小型投資者之間的分裂是一個警告信號

在此期間,比特幣的價格從11月4日的115,000美元下跌至98,000美元,下降約15%。根據CoinMarketCap的數據,比特幣的價格在發稿時已回升至103,780美元。

Santiment形容這一現象為「大型與小型投資者之間出現了重大分歧」。他們表示:「鯨魚拋售而散戶買入的分歧可能是一個警告信號。」

其他分析師對比特幣未來幾周的走勢看法不一。Bitfinex的分析師告訴Cointelegraph,他們預計近期將會出現整合和一些波動,而不是「明確的上漲趨勢」。

他們解釋說,若現貨比特幣ETF的資金流入能夠恢復到每週超過10億美元,且宏觀經濟條件改善,比特幣有機會攀升至130,000美元。

分析師認為比特幣有機會攀升至130,000美元

Nansen的高級研究分析師Jake Kennis告訴Cointelegraph,儘管比特幣歷來有年增長的趨勢,但「最近的清算和市場結構的崩潰使得近期出現增長的可能性大大降低。」

「不過,年末仍有實質上漲的空間。」Kennis解釋說,如果動能能夠「明確轉變」,比特幣在今年內創造新高仍然是可能的。

在這個不確定的市場中,散戶的行為與鯨魚的動向之間的分歧,無疑是值得投資者關注的信號。這不僅反映了市場的情緒,也可能預示著未來價格的波動。隨著市場的進一步發展,投資者需要密切關注這些動向,以便做出明智的投資決策。

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