比特幣長期持有者轉為淨買家助力回升




長期持有者轉為淨買家,緩解比特幣主要阻力

喺今次嘅調整期間,長期持有者已經賣出超過100萬枚比特幣,係自2019年以嚟最大嘅賣壓事件。

由James Van Straten報道,Jamie Crawley編輯

2025年12月30日 上午11:25

根據鏈上數據分析公司checkonchain嘅資料,長期持有者(LTH)——即持有比特幣至少155日嘅投資者——首次自今年7月以嚟,轉為淨買入狀態,喺過去30日內淨增持約33,000枚比特幣。呢個數字反映出過去半年嘅買家逐漸成為長期持有者,佢哋嘅買入力度已經超過賣出。

今年以嚟,長期持有者嘅拋售係兩大主要賣壓來源之一,另一個就係礦工因挖礦虧損而被迫賣幣。長期持有者嘅拋售活動特別顯著,10月份嘅調整期間佢哋賣出超過100萬枚比特幣,係自2019年以嚟最大規模嘅賣壓。2019年嗰次賣壓最終伴隨住熊市低點,比特幣價格約為3,200美元。

今個周期內,長期持有者嘅賣出浪潮已經出現三次:第一次係2024年3月,當時比特幣價格達到73,000美元,超過70萬枚比特幣被拋售;第二次係2024年11月,比特幣突破10萬美元,長期持有者拋售超過75萬枚;第三次就係10月份嘅調整。

編輯評論:

長期持有者嘅行為轉變,反映出比特幣市場正處於一個關鍵嘅轉折點。過去幾年,長期持有者嘅拋售往往成為市場調整嘅主要推手,尤其係當價格達到高位時。今次佢哋開始淨買入,顯示市場可能正逐步建立更穩固嘅基礎,為下一輪上升周期鋪路。

不過,值得注意嘅係,長期持有者嘅賣壓仍然巨大,超過100萬枚比特幣嘅拋售量,反映出部分投資者仍然選擇鎖定利潤或減少風險。這種賣壓若持續,仍可能對價格形成壓力。

此外,礦工嘅賣壓同樣不可忽視,佢哋通常係被動賣出,因為挖礦成本高企,當價格下跌時不得不變現。未來礦工嘅經濟狀況及挖礦難度變化,將直接影響市場供應。

整體而言,長期持有者淨買入係一個積極信號,代表市場信心回升,但仍需密切留意賣壓動態同宏觀經濟環境,才能更全面判斷比特幣未來走勢。香港投資者應該保持謹慎,善用風險管理工具,避免過度追高或盲目恐慌。

以上文章由GPT 所翻譯及撰寫。圖片由Gemini 根據內容自動生成。

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