比特幣進入歷史最佳增長月,11月有望大漲!




比特幣在十月結束時出現下跌,但現在進入其獲利最大月份

比特幣通常在十一月錄得最強的增長,平均增幅自2013年以來達到42.51%。這意味著如果歷史重演,比特幣本月有可能突破160,000美元。

然而,一位加密貨幣分析師指出,還有多個宏觀經濟因素在起作用。

“我認為季節性圖表非常重要,但這必須與其他許多因素結合起來,”來自10x Research的加密分析師馬庫斯·提倫(Markus Thielen)表示。

展望未來,市場預期美國聯邦儲備局將進一步降低利率,而美國和中國正在努力達成貿易協議;這兩個發展對比特幣都是利好消息。然而,政府關閉和美國關稅仍然增加了經濟的不確定性。

以下是未來幾周需要關注的一些關鍵發展。

美國/中國緩解貿易緊張

美國總統特朗普與中國主席習近平的會晤被視為結束美中貿易緊張的積極步驟。

特朗普在韓國與中國總統的會談中形容這次談話為“驚人”。會談的一部分包括特朗普同意減少對中國的關稅,以換取北京打擊芬太尼貿易、恢復購買美國大豆,以及一年內結束對稀土出口的限制。

特朗普告訴記者,他預計與中國的貿易協議“很快”會達成。

特朗普對中國的關稅威脅被認為是導致最近加密貨幣崩盤的原因之一,該事件在10月11日的24小時內清算了190億美元的資金。自那以後,加密市場一直難以恢復。

然而,喬治城大學的教授丹尼斯·懷爾德(Dennis Wilder)告訴CBC新聞,這次會議更像是貿易戰的“暫停”,而不是結束。

美國聯邦儲備局將降低利率,結束量化緊縮

就在幾天前,聯邦儲備局官員投票決定再降低四分之一點的利率,將關鍵貸款利率降至三年來的最低水平。

下一次聯邦儲備局會議定於2025年12月10日舉行。根據CME的FedWatch數據,交易者預計有63%的概率會進行降息。

聯邦儲備局主席鮑威爾(Jerome Powell)在週三驚訝市場地表示,這一舉措“並非必然”。

聯邦儲備局的降息被視為對比特幣的利好消息,因為借貸成本的降低歷來激勵投資者交易風險較高的資產,如加密貨幣。

此外,聯邦儲備局最近決定於12月1日停止其量化緊縮(QT)計劃。QT是指縮減中央銀行的資產負債表,目的是冷卻過熱的經濟,防止通脹過快上升。

量化寬鬆的相反過程是中央銀行向經濟注入更多現金,這被視為對加密貨幣有利,因為部分資金會流入替代資產。

美國政府關閉持續進行

美國政府關閉即將進入第五周,接近美國歷史上最長的關閉,因為美國共和黨和民主黨在政府開支計劃上仍然僵持不下。

特朗普在週四呼籲共和黨廢除“參議院阻撓”規則,這使得少數參議員能夠阻止多數行動,他將這一切歸咎於政府關閉。

“選擇是明確的——啟動‘核選項’,消除阻撓,讓美國再次偉大!”特朗普在Truth Social上寫道。

結束政府關閉被視為美國證券交易委員會(SEC)對幾個加密貨幣ETF給予最終批准的必要步驟,還有加密市場結構法案的關鍵進展,即所謂的CLARITY法案。

這一系列的經濟和政治因素,無疑會影響比特幣的走勢。投資者在面對這樣的環境時,應該更加謹慎,並密切關注即將到來的市場變化。比特幣的表現不僅僅取決於其自身的供需關係,還受到全球經濟狀況和政策變化的深刻影響。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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The person from the reference photo ( keep the face of the person 100% accurate from the reference image ) relaxing on a fluffy, glowing cloud high above the sky, surrounded by soft golden sunlight and vast layers of clouds stretching to the horizon. the person is lying back comfortably with a pillow, wearing a dark long-sleeve shirt, olive green pants, holding a book in one hand and a coffee cup in the other. the lighting is cinematic and warm, capturing the golden hour ambiance with radiant highlights and gentle shadows across the clouds. captured with a wide-angle lens at medium depth of field, balancing focus between the subject and the surrounding dreamy sky. the overall atmosphere is surreal and serene, blending realism with fantasy in a peaceful, imaginative setting. {
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"angle": "Close-up beauty editorial captured at a refined 3/4 angle, focusing on her face, shoulders, and upper chest with extreme clarity and no blur.",
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"body_position": "She is partially submerged in a luxurious milk bath, her shoulders and collarbones emerging gracefully from the surface.",
"hands": "One hand gently rests at the edge of the bath with milk droplets on her fingers, while the other lightly touches her neck adorned with subtle gold jewelry.",
"expression": "Soft yet commanding gaze directed toward the camera—calm, confident, intimate, and hypnotic."
}
},

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"outfit": "A barely-there, ritual-style ivory silk drape partially submerged in the milk bath, clinging softly to her skin. The fabric is delicate and translucent, edged with fine gold-thread embroidery for a sensual, sacred aesthetic.",
"accessories": "Minimal ritual jewelry—thin gold collar necklace resting above the milk surface, delicate arm cuff, subtle finger ring—kept refined to maintain focus on beauty and skin.",
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"ritual_props": {
"bath": "A carved alabaster bathtub filled with warm milk infused with honey, almond oil, and lotus essence.",
"floating_elements": [
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"Delicate gold flakes shimmering on the milk surface"
],
"beauty_products": [
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]
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"macro_environment": "An intimate royal bathing chamber within Cleopatra’s palace, designed as a sacred beauty sanctuary.",
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"micro_elements": "Milk ripples around her skin, floating petals touching her shoulders, tiny droplets of moisture on her collarbones, reflections of candle flames on gold jewelry, visible stone texture on the tub, and delicate fabric translucency—every detail sharply rendered with zero blur."
},

"lighting": {
"type": "Warm cinematic candlelight combined with soft ambient palace glow.",
"effect": "Golden highlights sculpt her face and skin while gentle shadows enhance depth, intimacy, and divine beauty."
},

"camera": {
"camera_type": "DSLR",
"resolution": "8K UHD",
"lens": "85mm prime lens for beauty editorial compression",
"aperture": "f/8 for maximum facial and detail sharpness",
"iso": 100,
"shutter_speed": "1/160s",
"focus": "Extreme sharp focus on facial features, skin texture, makeup details, and milk surface, no bokeh, no blur"
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