比特幣跌穿十萬美元!熊市陷阱還是牛市開端?

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比特幣分析師警告 $95,000 ‘熊市陷阱’,儘管創下 $102,000 的月度收盤紀錄

比特幣可能會在 $95,000 以下出現一個“熊市陷阱”,儘管它已經首次實現了月度收盤超過 $100,000 的成就。根據 Cointelegraph Markets Pro 的數據,比特幣在 2 月 2 日首次跌破 $100,000 的心理價位,自 1 月 27 日以來首次出現這一情況。

這一下跌發生在通脹擔憂加劇的背景下,因為特朗普總統對來自中國、加拿大和墨西哥的商品徵收了進口關稅。

然而,根據 Bitget Research 的首席分析師 Ryan Lee 的說法,這一跌幅可能是更廣泛修正的開始,可能會將比特幣推向 $95,000。他表示:“在下行方面,$95,000 的範圍仍然是一個關鍵的支撐區域。勞動市場趨勢、聯儲政策預期和市場情緒之間的相互作用將是未來幾周需要關注的主要催化劑。”

不過,Lee 也補充道,如果下週的勞動市場數據顯示出“經濟疲軟”,比特幣在 2 月可能會有更多上漲的空間。

美國勞工統計局計劃在 2 月 7 日發布美國勞動市場報告。根據 Lee 的說法,疲軟的勞動市場數據可能會加強聯邦儲備局降息的理由,這將為比特幣創造一個“更具支持性的環境”。

比特幣創下 $102,000 的月度收盤紀錄

儘管如此,比特幣在 1 月創下了加密貨幣歷史上首次月度收盤超過 $100,000 的紀錄。比特幣在本月的收盤價為 $102,412,比 2024 年 11 月的之前紀錄 $96,441 高出超過 6%。

一些分析師認為,比特幣目前的修正可能僅僅是一個熊市陷阱,包括知名加密分析師 Sensei,他在 2 月 2 日的 X 帖子中分享了相關圖表。

熊市陷阱是一種協調但受控的拋售行為,會在資產價格中造成暫時的下跌。它通常是在長期上升趨勢中的一個重大修正。

儘管短期內可能出現修正,但比特幣在 2025 年剩餘時間的前景仍然看漲,尤其是在現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)在 2024 年 1 月 11 日首次上市交易一年多後,已經突破了 $1250 億的紀錄里程碑。

分析師對 2025 年市場周期剩餘時間的預測範圍在 $160,000 到 $180,000 以上。

評論

比特幣市場的動態顯示出其本質的波動性,這不僅是投資者情緒的反映,也與全球經濟形勢密切相關。特朗普的貿易政策和美國勞動市場的變化都可能成為影響比特幣走勢的重要因素。值得注意的是,儘管短期內可能出現熊市陷阱,但長期趨勢似乎仍然向好,尤其是在 ETF 的推動下,這可能會吸引更多機構投資者的注意。這樣的市場環境不僅考驗著投資者的耐心,也促使他們對市場的敏感度和預測能力進行重新評估。在這樣的情況下,投資者需要謹慎行事,並密切關注即將發布的經濟數據,以便在波動的市場中做出明智的決策。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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