比特幣跌穿兩百天均線!後市會否再探7萬?




比特幣價格能跌到多低?

比特幣的價格在過去24小時內下跌了8.5%,突破200日簡單移動平均線(SMA)使BTC價格面臨更深的修正風險。

根據Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的數據,比特幣的價格在3月2日星期日曾飆升至95,000美元,但在3月3日的高點94,422美元後,於3月4日突然下跌至日內低點82,450美元。

比特幣的價格下跌與市場全面回調有關

比特幣的價格下跌與美國總統特朗普政府對來自墨西哥、加拿大和中國的進口商品實施貿易關稅的影響有關。這次的拋售使市場參與者不禁思考,這次回調究竟能有多深。

在跌至82,000美元的過程中,比特幣清除了流動性。根據Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的數據,亞洲和歐洲交易時段的虧損持續增加。

關鍵點:

– 比特幣價格在Bitstamp上跌至82,450美元,抹去了3月1日至3月2日之間的所有漲幅。
– 隨著美國對中國、墨西哥和加拿大的關稅生效,市場情緒受到影響。
– 根據監測資源CoinGlass的數據,24小時內加密貨幣市場的清算金額達到9.8億美元。
– 當比特幣跌破90,000美元時,3月3日至3月4日之間的多頭頭寸損失超過3.5億美元。

CoinGlass的額外數據顯示,在70,000至80,000美元區間內出現了強烈的買盤興趣。這表明,比特幣的價格可能會進一步下滑,以清理這一區間內的流動性,然後再進行持續的反彈。

200日SMA成為比特幣的最後防線

從技術分析的角度來看,比特幣的價格目前位於82,500美元以上的即時支撐位,即200日簡單移動平均線(SMA)附近。

需要知道的事項:

– 如果價格跌破200日SMA,將導致價格從當前水平向更低的低點下滑。
– 首個關鍵水平是2月28日的低點,約在78,200美元。
– 另一個值得關注的區域是73,600至76,550美元之間的合理差距價值,這是在2024年11月特朗普當選後的漲勢中形成的。

在日線圖上出現了一個看跌交叉,50日SMA剛好跌破100日SMA,這表明市場情緒從看漲轉為看跌,預示著可能會持續下跌。

MN Capital的創始人Michael van de Poppe指出,在被95,000美元的阻力位拒絕後,比特幣又回到了四小時的“震蕩”狀態。對於van de Poppe來說,如果跌破2月28日的低點78,200美元,將會出現一根大體積的蠟燭,將比特幣價格推向中70,000美元。

“老實說,我認為我們需要等到本周結束,因為有很多宏觀經濟數據和事件以及峰會。”

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每個投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決策時應進行自己的研究。

評論與分析

比特幣的價格波動再次提醒我們,加密貨幣市場的脆弱性和不確定性。隨著全球經濟形勢的變化,尤其是貿易政策的調整,投資者需更加謹慎。市場情緒的轉變往往會引發大規模的資金流出,這次的拋售就是一個明顯的例子。未來幾天的宏觀經濟數據和事件將是影響市場走向的關鍵因素,投資者應密切關注這些動態,以便及時調整自己的投資策略。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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A low-angle, wide-lens street shot in a bustling cityscape (similar to Shibuya, Tokyo). A young woman crouches confidently beside a modified, glossy purple sports car with a Japanese license plate. She wears a black graphic tee, cargo pants, white sneakers, and silver jewelry. The background features tall glass skyscrapers, colorful billboards, neon signage, and warm late-afternoon lighting. Strong perspective distortion emphasizes the height of the buildings and the car’s aggressive stance. The mood is stylish, bold, and modern, capturing urban automotive culture with a cinematic, hyper-real aesthetic. High detail, high contrast, crisp reflections, editorial fashion vibe, dynamic street energy. Use the original face exactly as it is, without changing a details. A hyper-realistic, highly detailed portrait of a beautiful woman in a 1950s/Pin-Up style, evoking the essence of a classic Hollywood starlet on a glamorous vacation.
• Subject: A stunning young woman with a classic Pin-Up aesthetic (think 1950s movie star).
• Facial Features: Striking blue/green eyes, perfectly arched eyebrows, and classic makeup featuring bright red lipstick. Her expression is captivating and seductive.
• Hair & Hat: Long, voluminous, deep brown hair styled in soft, glamorous waves/curls. She is wearing a very large, wide-brimmed straw hat that casts a soft shadow on her face.
• Attire: A chic, form-fitting black dress with white polka dots. The dress has an off-the-shoulder, sweetheart neckline bodice that cinches at the waist with a thin black belt. She is also wearing a black scarf with white polka dots tied around her neck like an ascot.
• Setting & Context: The background suggests a sunny, coastal location with a deep blue ocean/sea visible behind her. She is leaning seductively against the tan/brown, polished hood or door of a classic vintage convertible car.
• Style/Vibe: Vintage glamour, 1950s Hollywood, high-fashion editorial. {
"intro": "Create an ultra realistic 8K UHD DSLR photo based on the attached image as a reference of facial features, maintaining 100% likeness.",

"subject": {
"identity": "A stylish beautiful woman portrayed as Cleopatra performing a sacred night-time royal dance, embodying divine seduction, power, and celestial authority.",
"angle": "Full-body high-fashion editorial portrait captured at a cinematic 3/4 angle, ultra-crisp clarity with no blur.",
"pose": {
"body_position": "She is captured mid-dance inside a temple courtyard at night, her body angled gracefully, hips grounded, torso lifted, creating a powerful and sensual silhouette.",
"movement": "Her arms are raised in slow ceremonial motion while one leg steps forward, fully revealing her feet and lower legs as part of the ritual stance.",
"expression": "A calm, hypnotic, commanding gaze directed toward the camera—quiet dominance wrapped in sensual mystery."
}
},

"appearance": {
"outfit": "An ultra-bongga Cleopatra couture gown with an all-crystal bodice that fits like jeweled armor. Thousands of hand-set crystals, diamonds, and glass stones in gold, champagne, clear, and iridescent tones form sacred Egyptian motifs—cobras, sun disks, lotus symbols—entirely through crystal placement. The neckline is daring yet elegant, supported by invisible illusion mesh. From the waist, the skirt opens into flowing sheer silk and organza panels in ivory and soft gold, designed with a high front opening that intentionally exposes her legs and feet during movement. Crystal chains and beaded fringe sway rhythmically with every step, enhancing sensual motion.",
"accessories": "A dramatic Egyptian ceremonial headpiece with gold and crystal detailing, an oversized layered gold collar necklace, sculpted crystal arm cuffs, finger armor rings, a crystal-and-gold waist belt, and delicate gold anklets accentuating her bare feet.",
"hair": "Her hair is sleek, glossy, and perfectly controlled, styled to balance the weight of the crystal headpiece while allowing elegant movement.",
"makeup": "Ultra-glam, colorful Egyptian night makeup—bold elongated black kohl eyeliner, intense eyeshadow layered in turquoise, emerald, sapphire blue, violet, and metallic gold. Beneath the eyes, intricate ceremonial ink drawings in fine black and gold lines inspired by ancient Egyptian markings. Skin is luminous with molten-gold highlights, brows strong and defined, lips finished in a sensual nude-bronze satin."
},

"props": {
"ritual_elements": [
"Burning incense bowls releasing thick aromatic smoke",
"Golden sistrum placed near the dance space",
"Tall ceremonial torches lining the temple floor"
]
},

"background": {
"macro_environment": "A grand ancient Egyptian temple courtyard at night, reserved for sacred royal rituals.",
"midground_details": "Towering sandstone columns, massive statues of Isis and Hathor, carved temple walls, flowing linen drapes, and ceremonial platforms illuminated by firelight.",
"micro_elements": "Torch flames reflecting off crystal surfaces, fine dust particles glowing in the night air, incense smoke wrapping around her legs and feet, detailed stone floor textures beneath her bare feet, crystal fringe in motion, and sharply defined shadows—everything rendered in extreme detail with zero blur."
},

"lighting": {
"type": "Cinematic night lighting using torches, oil lamps, and subtle moonlight.",
"effect": "Firelight ignites the crystal bodice with prismatic sparkle while moonlight softly outlines her legs and feet, creating a dramatic, sensual, and divine atmosphere."
},

"camera": {
"camera_type": "DSLR",
"resolution": "8K UHD",
"lens": "50mm prime lens",
"aperture": "f/8 for full-body and environment sharpness",
"iso": 100,
"shutter_speed": "1/200s to freeze elegant motion clearly",
"focus": "Extreme sharp focus on crystal bodice, facial features, legs, feet, and temple details, no bokeh, no blur"
},

"style": "Ultra high-fashion editorial, night temple ritual, all-crystal couture, sexy yet sacred, ancient Egyptian royalty reimagined, cinematic realism, extremely detailed, sharp, iconic"
}