比特幣跌破8萬美元,市場風險加劇!




比特幣價格跌破8萬美元,股市面臨1987年黑色星期一重演

比特幣(BTC)價格預測與股市出現分歧,因為比特幣在美國貿易關稅影響下顯示出驚人的韌性,交易者預計這種情況將在下周繼續。

根據Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的數據,BTC/USD在當天跌破80,000美元,自本周初以來下跌了3%。在此期間,由於美國貿易關稅和經濟衰退的擔憂,風險資產遭遇了多次劇烈波動。

美國股市特別遭受重大損失,標普500指數和納斯達克綜合指數在4月4日的交易中均下跌近6%。金融評論員霍爾格·查佩茨(Holger Zchaepitz)在X平台上總結道:“特朗普本周的關稅公告已經抹去了8.2萬億美元的股市價值——這比2008年金融危機最糟糕的一周損失的還要多。”

這一糟糕的收盤讓一些人開始擔心下周的開盤情況,社交媒體上出現了對1987年“黑色星期一”崩盤的比較。CNBC《瘋狂金錢》節目的主持人吉姆·克萊默(Jim Cramer)在周末在X上表示:“在快速構建一個新的、更弱的世界秩序是困難的。我們在瘋狂地嘗試,但還沒有看到任何能讓1987年10月的情景不再成為可能的跡象。”

克萊默之前曾在直播中警告過1987年情景的可能性,但隨後推理認為市場熔斷機制“可能會減緩情況”。

在比特幣圈子裡,對市場短期行為的預測也出現了一些大膽的看法。知名但具爭議性的比特幣支持者麥克斯·凱瑟(Max Keiser)甚至預測BTC/USD在本月底前將達到220,000美元。他在回應克萊默的X上寫道:“1987年式的巨型崩盤將推動比特幣在本月達到220,000美元,因為數萬億的財富將尋求終極避風港:比特幣。”

比特幣抵抗價格暴跌

在交易者中,比特幣和股市之間的情緒分歧越來越明顯。許多人認為,在上周經歷了關稅衝擊的最糟糕情況後,未來幾天甚至可能出現明顯的比特幣價格上漲。

流行交易者Daan Crypto Trades在其最新分析中指出:“比特幣的波動性越來越低,而股市的波動指數(VIX)則在2020年疫情崩盤以來達到最高水平。這是前所未有的,基於這種壓縮,我非常有信心加密貨幣在下周將出現大幅波動。無論是上漲還是下跌,取決於股市能否在周初找到底部。”

另一位交易者Cas Abbe則表示,最近BTC/USD的76,000美元低點可能會成為經典的假跌破。他告訴X的追隨者:“這看起來和ETF崩盤後的情況沒有什麼不同。我在等待每周重新回到92,000美元,以確認上升趨勢。”

這篇文章不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。

在當前的市場環境中,比特幣的表現顯示出它作為避險資產的潛力,尤其是在全球經濟不確定性加劇的背景下。儘管市場波動性加大,但比特幣的韌性可能會吸引更多投資者的注意。未來幾周,隨著市場情緒的變化,比特幣是否能夠突破目前的價格水平將成為關鍵觀察點。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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