比特幣賣盤減少,牛市將至?




比特幣賣家「枯竭」每週交易所流入接近兩年低點

隨著比特幣(BTC)流入主要交易所的數量自去年11月以來下降了近三分之二,分析師對於市場即將回暖的前景感到樂觀。

根據分析,隨著交易所流入量創下多年的低點,比特幣正面臨一個新的「整合區域」。在4月1日的X平台上,鏈上數據分析平台CryptoQuant的貢獻者Axel Adler Jr.宣稱,比特幣的賣家已經「枯竭」。

平均交易所流入量自去年11月以來下降64%

數據顯示,自2024年末比特幣首次突破10萬美元以來,賣方壓力已經大幅減少。Adler分析了主要加密交易所的比特幣流入,揭示了每週平均出售的總量急劇下降。

他表示:「主要交易所的平均賣壓已從每日81K降至29K BTC。」並附上了一張CryptoQuant的圖表。

他補充道:「歡迎來到非對稱需求的區域。」

根據數據,3月23日的七天平均流入量達到自2023年5月以來的最低水平,當時比特幣/美元的交易價格低於3萬美元。考慮到當前價格幾乎是那個數字的三倍,Adler認為2025年比特幣牛市的潛力正在顯現。

他總結道:「市場已成功吸收了在突破10萬美元後的利潤回吐潮。賣家已經枯竭,買家似乎對當前價格水平感到滿意,這為結構性供應短缺鋪平了道路。四月到五月可能會變成一個整合區域——下一波衝擊前的平靜。」

幣安流入暗示「更中立的立場」

正如Cointelegraph報導的那樣,市場情緒已經與價格現實保持一致的跡象已經出現。

與此同時,作為美國交易所需求的代理指標的Coinbase Premium,雖然沒有實際的價格反彈,但仍在中立水平徘徊,並從負區域回升。

不過,短期分析警告本週流入量可能會出現新的上升,幣安除外。「短期持有者向幣安發送的比特幣顯著減少——僅有6300 BTC,而其他交易所的平均為24700 BTC。」CryptoQuant的貢獻者、數據分析平台Alphractal的創始人兼CEO Joao Wedson在其“Quicktake”博客文章中指出。

他表示:「這表明幣安的賣壓較低,許多交易者可能採取了更中立的立場。」

這篇文章並不包含投資建議或推薦。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。

評論

這篇文章突顯了目前比特幣市場的一個重要趨勢,即賣方的減少可能為未來的牛市奠定基礎。這種情況不僅反映了市場的供需關係,也顯示出投資者對當前價格的信心。隨著市場逐漸進入整合期,這可能是為下一波上升做好準備的信號。

然而,值得注意的是,雖然賣方減少,但市場仍然面臨不確定性。投資者應該保持謹慎,特別是在短期內流入量可能上升的情況下。這種波動可能會影響市場情緒,並導致價格的劇烈變動。因此,持續關注市場動態和數據分析將是投資者在這個不斷變化的環境中取得成功的關鍵。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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