比特幣賣盤壓力如同2000年泡沫破滅




BTC和加密貨幣拋售類似於2000年網絡泡沫崩潰:分析師

大型的長期加密貨幣和比特幣投資者繼續在市場上拋售,這使得資產價格無法達到高峰。根據分析師Jordi Visser的說法,這一現象與2000年代網絡泡沫崩潰後的市場動態相似。

Visser表示,目前加密市場的價格行為讓人聯想到2000年網絡泡沫破裂後的情況,當時股票價格下跌了最多80%,隨後經歷了16年的整合期才重新回到之前的高點。他指出,風險投資者在崩潰期間被迫持有投資,因為他們必須遵守鎖倉期,當他們終於能夠出售時,便急於將資產拋售到市場上。Visser補充道:

> “許多股票的交易價格低於其首次公開募股(IPO)價格。我們現在也面臨著類似的情況。風險投資者和內部投資者因為急需流動性或贖回而在每次反彈中進行拋售。這就是我對Solana、以太坊、每一種山寨幣以及比特幣的看法。”

Visser澄清,雖然加密價格不會像當年那樣需要16年才能回升,但他使用2000年代網絡泡沫的後果來說明當前的拋售壓力動態。他表示,加密市場即將結束這一整合階段,最多還剩下一年的時間。

這項分析是在比特幣熊市於十月開始之際提出的,這導致多位分析師和投資公司修訂了他們的最樂觀價格預測,並下調了預測值。

比特幣是否已在$100,000附近觸底?

根據一些分析師的觀點,比特幣的價格顯示出在$100,000附近觸底的跡象,但其他人擔心如果拋售壓力持續加大,可能會下跌至$92,000。

大型投資者和長期持有者通常會在歷史高點進行變現,而CryptoQuant的分析師Julio Moreno表示,鯨魚的拋售本身並不是問題。

長期持有者現在以比市場能夠吸收的速度將他們的比特幣拋售到市場上。Moreno指出:

> “自十月以來,長期持有者的拋售增加,這並不是新鮮事,但需求卻在收縮,無法在更高的價格吸收長期持有者的供應。”

這一情況顯示出市場的脆弱性,尤其是在需求減少的情況下,長期持有者的拋售行為將進一步壓制資產價格。這也反映出加密市場在經歷過去幾年的快速增長後,正面臨著一個不容忽視的調整期。

在這個背景下,投資者應該更加謹慎,關注市場的供需變化,並考慮如何在這樣的環境中進行風險管理。隨著市場的波動性加大,未來的投資策略可能需要更加靈活和適應性強。

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