比特幣突破84K,分析師警告或再跌!

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比特幣漸漸回升至84,000美元,分析師警告加密貨幣可能再度下跌

一位Coinbase Institutional的研究主管表示,加密貨幣市場要達到新高可能要等到今年稍後的時候。

根據報導,隨著美國股市的上漲,加密貨幣市場在週一小幅上升,CoinDesk 20指數在過去24小時內上漲了2.4%,比特幣(BTC)交易價格約為84,000美元。儘管目前從低點反彈,但LMAX的Joel Kruger指出,美國股市的持續修正可能會將比特幣拉低至2024年3月的高點範圍73,000至74,000美元。

市場普遍預期美國聯邦儲備局(Fed)本週將保持利率穩定,但Coinbase的David Duong表示,政策制定者可能會暫停或停止中央銀行的資產負債表縮減。

週一,加密貨幣市場上漲,比特幣(BTC)交易價格超過84,000美元,隨著美國股票的另一個積極交易日延續了風險資產的上漲。最大的加密貨幣上漲,整體加密市場上漲1.8%,而廣泛市場的CoinDesk 20指數在同一時期內小幅超越,增長了2.4%。以太坊(ETH)穩定在1,900美元以上,上漲2.8%,而包括SUI、AAVE、ICP和NEAR在內的幾個主要山寨幣均上漲超過5%。

Solana也隨著整體市場上漲3%,儘管在專注於機構的CME市場上,SOL期貨的首次交易並未對投資者情緒產生影響。

Ethena的治理代幣(ENA)因與代幣化資產發行商Securitize合作開發專有區塊鏈的消息上漲了7%,旨在連接去中心化金融(DeFi)和傳統機構。

美國主要股票指數在本週延續反彈,為風險資產提供了有利的背景。然而,LMAX集團的策略師Joel Kruger警告說,S&P500的月度圖表顯示美國股市可能會持續修正,這可能會對加密貨幣造成壓力。

Kruger表示:“當我們考慮到全球貿易緊張局勢和對美國經濟放緩的擔憂時,尤其是在聯儲局能提供多少額外支持仍然不確定的情況下,確實存在股票可能進一步下跌的擔憂。”他指出,比特幣可能會回落至2024年3月的高點73,000至74,000美元。

市場幾乎普遍預期聯儲局在本週的聯邦公開市場委員會會議上將保持利率不變,但投資者應密切關注中央銀行資產負債表縮減或量化緊縮(QT)計劃的任何潛在變化,David Duong表示。

他在週一的報告中寫道:“我們認為聯儲局本週可能會暫停或結束其QT計劃,因為銀行儲備水平接近GDP的10-11%水平,這通常被認為足以維持金融穩定。”他表示,最近的加密貨幣拋售主要是由於宏觀經濟擔憂和流動性條件惡化,這些情況可能在下個季度好轉,為資產價格提供支持。“加密貨幣價格可能會在接下來幾週觸底,然後在今年稍後反彈至新高,”他總結道。

這篇文章提供了對當前加密貨幣市場的深刻洞察,特別是在比特幣價格回升的背景下,分析師的警告值得我們重視。隨著美國聯儲局的政策動向和全球經濟的不確定性,投資者需要保持警惕,隨時調整自己的投資策略。尤其是當市場情緒高漲時,回顧歷史數據和市場趨勢,能幫助我們更好地理解潛在的風險和機會。未來幾個月,加密貨幣市場的表現可能會受到多重因素的影響,包括政策變化、流動性狀況及全球經濟的整體走向,這些都需要投資者密切關注。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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