比特幣礦工拋售4.85億美元,市場警報?




比特幣礦工在BTC掙扎保持112K時套現4.85億美元;這是紅旗嗎?

隨著比特幣(BTC)價格的波動,早期的投資者(OG whales)開始出售其持有的比特幣,現在礦工們也開始套現。礦工在12天內售出了價值4.85億美元的比特幣,這是紅旗還是正常的獲利了結?

市場分析

比特幣在周四重新回到112,000美元的水平,從兩天前的六周低點反彈。儘管出現反彈,交易者仍然感到不安,因為比特幣礦工以九個月來最快的速度拋售比特幣。問題在於,這是否預示著更深層的問題開始出現,還是其他因素驅動了最近的資金流出。

根據Glassnode的數據,礦工的錢包在8月11日至8月23日期間穩定減少,自那以後幾乎沒有重新累積的跡象。上一次每日超過500 BTC的穩定提取發生在2024年12月28日,當時比特幣多次未能保持在97,000美元以上。

在最新的拋售中,礦工在截至8月23日的12天內拋售了4,207 BTC,約合4.85億美元。相比之下,在4月至7月的累積階段中,礦工增加了6,675 BTC的儲備。礦工目前的餘額為63,736 BTC,價值超過71億美元。

儘管這些流出量相對於像MicroStrategy和Metaplanet等公司的資金配置來說較小,但它們往往會引發市場投機和恐慌。如果礦工面臨更緊張的現金流,則賣壓可能會加劇,除非盈利能力改善。

在過去的九個月中,比特幣上漲了18%,但根據HashRateIndex的數據,礦工的盈利能力下降了10%。不斷上升的挖礦難度和對鏈上交易需求的減弱影響了利潤率。比特幣網絡仍在自我調整,以支持平均10分鐘的區塊間隔,但盈利能力仍然令人擔憂。

比特幣礦工面對AI競爭但仍然堅韌

一些投資者的失望源於對人工智能基礎設施日益增長的轉向。這一趨勢在TeraWulf與谷歌達成32億美元的交易後變得更加明顯,該交易使谷歌獲得了14%的股權。這筆資金將用於擴大TeraWulf在紐約的AI數據中心,預計在2026年下半年啟動。

其他礦工也在跟隨類似的轉變。澳大利亞公司Iren(前身為Iris Energy)加速收購Nvidia的GPU,並在德克薩斯州建設一個液冷的AI數據中心,還在不列顛哥倫比亞省建立一個新站點,將容納多達20,000個GPU。與此同時,Hive(之前的Hive Blockchain)承諾投入3000萬美元擴展在魁北克的GPU驅動業務。

儘管對AI的關注日益增加,比特幣本身的基本面仍然穩固。網絡算力接近歷史高點,達到9.6億TH/秒,過去三個月增長了7%。這種強勁表現抵消了對礦工淨流出的擔憂,或該行業盈利能力增長不足的恐懼。

目前沒有證據表明礦工面臨迫切的清算壓力,即使賣出行為持續,企業儲備的資金流入也足以抵消這一影響。

在這篇文章中,我們看到比特幣礦工的行為引發了市場的擔憂,但實際上,礦工的流出並不一定意味著市場將進一步下跌。礦工的盈利能力下降和資金流出可能只是市場調整的一部分,而比特幣的基本面依然強勁,未來的增長潛力仍然存在。這提醒我們,市場情緒和基本面之間的平衡是投資者需要仔細觀察的關鍵。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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