比特幣極度恐慌?或將迎來報復性反彈!




比特幣持續的「極度恐懼」指數或將推高價格

本周,比特幣價格上漲,但由於缺乏具體計劃和整體股市風險情緒的影響,因特朗普的戰略儲備計劃而引發的初步興奮很快就消退了。

要點:
持續的「極度恐懼」指數可能暗示比特幣價格將上升,過去類似的模式曾導致比特幣價格上漲200%。
當比特幣的價值下滑至「極度恐懼」時,這通常被視為購買的好機會,因為這種情況在過去曾導致價值在三個月內翻倍。
比特幣的市場波動性和不確定性導致了獲利了結,投資者在等待即將舉行的白宮加密峰會的進一步明確信號時採取觀望態度。
在一個受到廣泛關注的情緒指數中,持續的「極度恐懼」指數可能預示著比特幣價格將在未來幾周觸底後上升,過去類似的情況曾出現過200%的增長。

恐懼與貪婪指數:極度恐懼!

自2024年9月以來,當時比特幣價格為53,000美元,我們首次看到市場持續出現極度恐懼的情況。
上次出現這種情況時,比特幣在接下來的三個月內翻了一番。
歷史會重演嗎?

這個指數有助於識別投資者是否過於恐懼(潛在的購買機會)或過於貪婪(可能的市場修正),通常在短期內作為反向指標。它基於價格波動性和動量、社交媒體情緒、谷歌趨勢數據以及比特幣的市場份額。

「比特幣在恐懼與貪婪指數上跌入『極度恐懼』,這是自2024年9月以來的第一次,當時比特幣交易價格為53,000美元,這一歷史低點引起了關注。」Kronos Research的首席投資官Vincent Liu在Telegram消息中告訴CoinDesk。「當時,比特幣的價值在接下來的三個月內翻倍,這可能是精明投資者的購買機會。」

Liu補充道:「在當前市場波動性加大的情況下,受到貿易關稅和更廣泛的宏觀經濟不確定性影響,這一時刻可能成為黃金進場點,前提是全球貿易緊張局勢緩解,整體經濟情緒回暖。」

比特幣及多個主要代幣,包括Cardano的ADA、Solana的SOL和XRP,在特朗普總統宣布美國加密貨幣戰略儲備後於周日大幅上漲。

但由於缺乏具體計劃和整體股市的風險情緒,初期的興奮很快消退。特朗普對加拿大、墨西哥和中國的關稅公告進一步影響了市場,交易者現在等待即將舉行的白宮加密峰會的進一步明確信號,以決定未來的投資策略。

這篇文章提供了一個重要的觀察,即市場情緒如何影響比特幣的價格走勢。當前的「極度恐懼」指數或許能成為投資者的指標,提醒他們在恐懼中尋找機會。然而,這樣的情緒指數並非絕對,投資者仍需考慮市場的多重因素,包括宏觀經濟環境和政策變化。隨著白宮加密峰會的臨近,市場可能會迎來更多的波動,這也為投資者提供了觀察和調整策略的良機。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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