比特幣投資者分歧警號,未來走勢堪憂

比特幣鯨魚與散戶之間的「重大分歧」是警告信號:Santiment

根據情緒分析平台Santiment的報告,比特幣的散戶與鯨魚之間的分歧正閃爍著警告信號,而其他分析師則預測在宏觀經濟回暖的情況下,價格將創下新高。

比特幣散戶投資者正在大量購買比特幣,與此同時,鯨魚則在拋售,這一模式如果遵循歷史趨勢,可能會對資產價格造成困擾。

比特幣的鯨魚拋售與散戶購買的現象

Santiment指出,自10月12日以來,持有10到10,000 BTC的比特幣鯨魚已經拋售了約32,500個比特幣。然而,小型散戶錢包則在積極買入價格下跌的比特幣。

在此期間,比特幣的價格從115,000美元跌至98,000美元,跌幅約15%。根據CoinMarketCap的數據,比特幣的價格在發稿時已回升至103,780美元。

Santiment形容這一現象為「大型與小型投資者之間出現了重大分歧」。該平台表示:「鯨魚在拋售,而散戶在買入的分歧可能是一個警告信號。」

分析師對未來幾周比特幣的預測

其他分析師對比特幣未來幾周的走勢看法不一。Bitfinex的分析師告訴Cointelegraph,他們預計近期將出現整合和一些波動,而不是「明確的衝刺新高」。

他們表示,10月早期的ETF資金流入將價格推高至約125,000美元,但隨後的宏觀衝擊、主要期權到期和獲利了結使其回落至高100,000美元區間。

根據Farside的數據,上週五,比特幣現貨ETF終止了為期六天的資金流出,流出金額達到20.4億美元。

比特幣有機會攀升至130,000美元

分析師解釋,如果現貨比特幣ETF的資金流入能夠恢復到每週超過10億美元,並且宏觀經濟條件改善,比特幣可能有機會攀升至130,000美元。

Nansen的高級研究分析師Jake Kennis告訴Cointelegraph,儘管比特幣歷史上年增率表現良好,但「最近的清算和市場結構的崩潰使得短期內這一情況的可能性大大降低」。

他補充道:「不過,年底前仍然有實質性上漲的空間」,並解釋如果動能「明確轉變」,比特幣在今年創下新高仍然是可能的。

這篇報導引發了一些思考。比特幣市場的動態顯示出散戶與鯨魚之間的行為差異,這不僅是技術分析的問題,更是市場心理的反映。當散戶在追逐低價時,鯨魚卻選擇拋售,這種行為可能暗示著市場的信心正在動搖。未來幾周的市場走勢將取決於宏觀經濟的變化以及投資者的情緒,這也提醒我們在進行投資時需要保持警惕,並隨時調整策略以應對市場的波動。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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Ultra-realistic, vibrant aerial adventure photograph captures a joyful man (same face as reference image, 100% accuracy) paragliding high above a breathtaking tropical coastline. He is seated comfortably in his black and orange harness, legs dangling freely, facing the camera with a wide, excited smile, teeth showing, conveying pure exhilaration. He sports dark brown hair and a light beard,wearing a bright red t-shirt emblazoned with 'style' in bold white text within a blackCteate a Ultra-realistic, vibrant aerial adventure photograph in 9:16 ratio captures a joyful man (same face as reference image, 100% accuracy) paragliding high above a breathtaking tropical coastline. He is seated comfortably in his black and orange harness, legs dangling freely, facing the camera with a wide, excited smile, teeth showing, conveying pure exhilaration. He sports dark brown hair and a light beard,wearing a bright red t-shirt emblazoned with 'style' in bold white text within a blackrectangle, layered beneath an open blue and black plaid long-sleeved shirt. His attire includes grey cargo shorts, white socks, and distinctive red, white, and black high-top sneakers. In his left hand, he holds a black selfie stick, while his right grasps the paragliding control lines. The stunning backdrop features crystal-clear turquoise and deep blue ocean revealing intricate coral reefs and gentle breaking waves near a pristine white sandy beach. A charming coastal town with numerouswhite buildings is nestled against lush, emerald-green, tree-covered hills, which ascend to distant, hazy mountains under a softly clouded sky. Another yellow paraglider gracefully soars in the distance, and a long concrete pier extends into the tranquil water. The scene is illuminated by bright, diffused natural light, creating an exhilarating, free-spirited, and idyllic tropical mood, with a color palette dominated by vivid turquoises, deep blues, and verdant greens, beautifully contrastedby the crisp whites of the beach and town, and the bold reds of his clothing and footwear. Prompt:
Use my image in Ultra-realistic, hyper-detailed, 8K cinematic portrait of a young stylish man, using the uploaded image for exact face and hairstyle.
Outfit: An oversized red knit sweater with white hearts, exactly as described in the prompt.
Pose: A hyper-realistic close-up portrait with a messy, cropped framing showing only the boy holding the book. His left hand rests on the wooden table and covers part of his cheek, with a subtle smile on his lips. His other hand holds the book titled "Something I Never Told You" with the word "YOU" written in pink, exactly as
described in the prompt. Background: Not specified. {
"intro": "Create an ultra realistic 8K UHD DSLR photo based on the attached image as a reference of facial features, maintaining 100% likeness.",

"subject": {
"identity": "A stylish beautiful woman portrayed as Cleopatra during her sacred milk bath beauty ritual, embodying divine femininity, sensual elegance, and timeless power.",
"angle": "Close-up beauty editorial captured at a refined 3/4 angle, focusing on her face, shoulders, and upper chest with extreme clarity and no blur.",
"pose": {
"body_position": "She is partially submerged in a luxurious milk bath, her shoulders and collarbones emerging gracefully from the surface.",
"hands": "One hand gently rests at the edge of the bath with milk droplets on her fingers, while the other lightly touches her neck adorned with subtle gold jewelry.",
"expression": "Soft yet commanding gaze directed toward the camera—calm, confident, intimate, and hypnotic."
}
},

"appearance": {
"outfit": "A barely-there, ritual-style ivory silk drape partially submerged in the milk bath, clinging softly to her skin. The fabric is delicate and translucent, edged with fine gold-thread embroidery for a sensual, sacred aesthetic.",
"accessories": "Minimal ritual jewelry—thin gold collar necklace resting above the milk surface, delicate arm cuff, subtle finger ring—kept refined to maintain focus on beauty and skin.",
"hair": "Her hair is sleek and ritual-polished, partially damp and slicked back at the crown, with soft wet strands framing her face naturally, reflecting candlelight.",
"makeup": "High-fashion Cleopatra beauty makeup with ceremonial artistry—perfectly sculpted brows, elongated black kohl eyeliner, vibrant eyeshadow layered in turquoise, teal, emerald, sapphire blue, and metallic gold. Beneath the eyes, subtle artistic ink-inspired accents echo ancient Egyptian symbolism. Her skin is luminous and dewy, cheeks softly flushed, and lips finished in a nude-rose satin sheen."
},

"ritual_props": {
"bath": "A carved alabaster bathtub filled with warm milk infused with honey, almond oil, and lotus essence.",
"floating_elements": [
"Fresh lotus flowers",
"Soft white rose petals",
"Delicate gold flakes shimmering on the milk surface"
],
"beauty_products": [
"Small golden perfume vial with lotus and myrrh oil",
"Alabaster bowl of honey and milk mixture",
"Clay jar of mineral kohl and pigment powders"
]
},

"background": {
"macro_environment": "An intimate royal bathing chamber within Cleopatra’s palace, designed as a sacred beauty sanctuary.",
"midground_details": "Soft linen curtains, glowing oil lamps, tall candles, and subtle steam rising from the bath, creating a warm and sensual atmosphere.",
"micro_elements": "Milk ripples around her skin, floating petals touching her shoulders, tiny droplets of moisture on her collarbones, reflections of candle flames on gold jewelry, visible stone texture on the tub, and delicate fabric translucency—every detail sharply rendered with zero blur."
},

"lighting": {
"type": "Warm cinematic candlelight combined with soft ambient palace glow.",
"effect": "Golden highlights sculpt her face and skin while gentle shadows enhance depth, intimacy, and divine beauty."
},

"camera": {
"camera_type": "DSLR",
"resolution": "8K UHD",
"lens": "85mm prime lens for beauty editorial compression",
"aperture": "f/8 for maximum facial and detail sharpness",
"iso": 100,
"shutter_speed": "1/160s",
"focus": "Extreme sharp focus on facial features, skin texture, makeup details, and milk surface, no bokeh, no blur"
},

"style": "Luxury beauty editorial, sacred milk bath ritual, ancient Egyptian goddess realism, intimate yet powerful, ultra-detailed, luminous skin focus, cinematic elegance"
}