比特幣或將反彈,分析師看好穩定跡象

比特幣可能迎來“反彈”,穩定跡象浮現:分析師

Bitfinex表示,“極端去槓桿化”及其他指標可能幫助比特幣穩住腳步,並有潛力向上走。

比特幣在周三錄得8%的日漲幅,分析師指出當地的底部可能已經形成。Bitfinex的分析師在週二的報告中表示:“極端去槓桿化、短期持有者的投降以及賣方疲勞的早期跡象,創造了穩定階段和反彈的條件。”

在報告發佈不久後,比特幣的價格迅速上漲,接近94,000美元。根據CoinMarketCap的數據,目前比特幣交易價格為91,440美元。

比特幣運行在“更輕的槓桿基礎”上

Bitfinex指出,市場現在運行在“更輕的槓桿基礎”上,這降低了因突然平倉而引發的市場大幅下跌的可能性。

在10月10日,約190億美元的資本被清除,許多市場參與者將其形容為過度槓桿化的市場,這引發了更廣泛的拋售,將比特幣及整個加密市場推入下行趨勢,比特幣的價格在11月21日接近82,000美元時觸底。

這種配置強化了市場剩餘槓桿相對可控的論點,減少了系統性脆弱性,並改善了穩定整合階段的前景。

年末的價格回調隨後反彈,使得更多比特幣持有者認為四年周期已不再相關,這將使比特幣的周期價格頂部約在10月的歷史高點125,100美元附近。

分析師表示比特幣“與過去的周期不同”

由於12月歷來是比特幣較為平靜的月份,自2013年12月以來的平均回報僅為4.69%,因此比特幣如何結束今年仍不明朗。

然而,最近的價格行為並未遵循季節性趨勢,11月雖然歷史上是比特幣最強的月份,但卻下跌了17.67%。

一些人仍然相信,價格上漲的趨勢可能會延續到明年。

比特幣分析師PlanC在周四的一則X貼文中表示:“這個比特幣周期與過去的周期不同。”他補充道:“我已經警告大家並解釋了這一點超過一年,希望你們有在留意。”

同時,比特幣分析師Quinten Francois在同一天的X貼文中表示:“比特幣離底部更近,而非頂部。”

比特幣礦業公司董事長Tom Lee最近表示,他對比特幣在年底前重回100,000美元充滿信心。

這些分析顯示出比特幣市場的複雜性和不確定性,尤其是在面對全球經濟變化和市場情緒波動的背景下。隨著投資者不斷調整他們的策略,未來的價格走勢仍然充滿變數。值得注意的是,市場的情緒和外部因素對比特幣的影響可能會超出我們的預期,因此投資者在做出決策時應保持謹慎。

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