比特幣將重回投資焦點,市場進入成熟時代




比特幣從2025年的“熱門交易”中下滑,但關注將會回歸:亞歷克斯·索恩

根據Galaxy Digital的亞歷克斯·索恩,比特幣正進入一個更加“成熟的時代”,這對資產來說是健康的,並且將會重新吸引關注。

“年初時對比特幣的關注非常強烈,但可能不久後這種熱度會再次回來,”索恩在週五接受CNBC訪問時表示,強調“比特幣在年初是年度最熱門的交易”,這是在唐納德·特朗普贏得美國總統選舉之後的情況。

他指出:“對於全球所有類型的資產來說……這在今年剩餘的時間裡並不成立。”

投資者的注意力轉向其他領域

索恩提到,投資者的注意力已經轉向人工智能、核能、量子技術和黃金等領域。他表示:“今年有很多其他地方可以獲得收益,這妨礙了對比特幣的資金配置。”

“我們正進入一個更加成熟的時代,從老手到新手的資產分配對於比特幣的擁有權分配是非常健康的,”索恩補充道。

儘管索恩對比特幣的長期前景仍然持樂觀態度,他將Galaxy Digital的年終價格目標從185,000美元下調至120,000美元。根據CoinMarketCap的數據,120,000美元的目標相當於比特幣目前價格102,080美元的約17%的增長。

黃金和比特幣的比較

索恩提到的那些正在吸引投資者注意的領域,尤其是黃金,正是比特幣經常被拿來比較的對象。摩根大通的分析師最近表示,黃金在十月創下歷史新高時的波動性上升,使得這種貴金屬風險加大,而比特幣則“對投資者更具吸引力”,因為比特幣與黃金的波動率比降至1.8,這意味著比特幣的風險是黃金的1.8倍。

量子計算對比特幣的威脅

至於人工智能,報導指出比特幣和英偉達的股票(NVDA)現在的走勢比過去一年中的任何時候都更加一致,這讓一些市場觀察者擔心可能會出現類似於1990年代末網絡泡沫的崩潰。

同時,關於量子計算對比特幣的潛在威脅的討論仍在專家之間引發分歧。Borderless Capital的阿米特·梅赫拉最近表示,量子計算距離威脅比特幣還有幾年時間。而量化比特幣和數字資產基金Capriole的創始人查爾斯·愛德華茲則認為,情況更加緊迫,並主張行業必須儘快實施解決方案,以免為時已晚。

在當前的市場環境中,比特幣的未來仍然充滿不確定性,但無論是投資者的注意力轉移還是技術的潛在威脅,都顯示出這個市場的動態複雜性。隨著新技術的出現和市場情緒的變化,比特幣的角色和價值仍需持續觀察和分析。

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