比特幣回調或只是暫時震盪,牛市仍然在!




比特幣經歷“洗盤”而非四年週期結束:分析師

分析師指出,比特幣的22%價格回調只是暫時的“洗盤”,預示著比特幣市場周期的下一波上漲即將來臨。

比特幣的歷史牛市周期仍然保持完整,儘管目前的回調讓投資者感到恐慌,但根據加密市場分析師的說法,這可能只是一次暫時的“洗盤”,為下一波上漲鋪平道路。

根據Cointelegraph Markets Pro的數據,比特幣(BTC)目前的價格較1月20日創下的超過109,000美元的歷史高點下跌了22%。該日正值美國總統唐納德·特朗普的就職典禮。

儘管投資者情緒多次跌入“極度恐懼”,但歷史圖表模式顯示,這可能只是一個價格洗盤——由於多位投資者退出其持倉而導致的突然價格下跌,隨後可能會出現價格的迅速回升。

Bitfinex的分析師告訴Cointelegraph:“幾個關鍵技術指標已經轉為看跌,這引發了市場對牛市周期可能提前結束的猜測。”

“儘管如此,比特幣的四年周期仍然是一個重要因素,歷史上影響著價格走勢,”分析師補充道:“牛市周期內的回調是正常的,過去的趨勢表明,這可能是一個洗盤,而非長期熊市的開始。”

不過,分析師還指出,美國現貨比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)的推出,累計持有量一度超過1250億美元,加上機構對加密貨幣的投資不斷增加,這使得“傳統周期的存在變得不再明確”。

在價格行動的樂觀信號中,比特幣在3月15日首次在一周內以超過84,000美元的價格收盤,這是自3月8日以來的首次。

然而,Bitfinex的分析師表示,由於比特幣與傳統金融市場的相關性,BTC可能只能在股市(特別是標普500指數)找到底部。他們補充道:“雖然72,000至73,000美元仍然是關鍵支撐範圍,但更廣泛的市場敘事,尤其是全球國債收益率和股票趨勢,將決定比特幣的下一個重大動作。”

“貿易戰在某種程度上已經被市場消化,但持續的經濟壓力可能會影響市場情緒,”分析師補充道。

比特幣減半和四年周期仍然對價格行動至關重要:Nexo分析師

儘管市場對比特幣牛市的擔憂加劇,但根據Nexo數字資產投資平台的分析師伊利亞·卡爾切夫(Iliya Kalchev),四年周期以及比特幣減半事件仍然對比特幣的價格行動至關重要。

卡爾切夫告訴Cointelegraph:“比特幣的四年年均增長率(CAGR)已降至創紀錄的8%,這引發了對其傳統四年周期是否仍然有效的質疑。”他補充道:“儘管過去一年強勁的機構採用為比特幣提供了顯著的助力,但其減半事件仍然預計將對價格產生長期影響。”

2024年的比特幣減半將比特幣網絡的區塊獎勵減少至每個區塊3.125 BTC。

自2024年4月20日上次減半以來,比特幣價格已上漲超過31%,這被稱為比特幣價格最“看漲”的設置,部分原因是機構對這種全球首個加密貨幣的興趣不斷增加。

在這篇報導中,我們看到比特幣市場的動態仍然充滿變數,雖然短期內的價格波動可能會引發恐慌,但長期的市場趨勢和基本面因素仍然顯示出潛在的增長機會。投資者需要保持警惕,密切關注市場情緒和經濟指標,因為這些因素將在未來幾個月內對比特幣的價格走勢產生深遠影響。

以上文章由特價GPT API KEY所翻譯及撰寫。而圖片則由FLUX根據內容自動生成。

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