比特幣回落跌穿八萬八千美元警號




比特幣回吐早前升幅,跌穿88,000美元,納指期貨走弱拖累市場

比特幣在亞洲時段曾短暫反彈,但隨後回落至88,000美元以下,帶動主要山寨幣同步下跌。

根據CoinDesk數據,這隻市值最高的加密貨幣曾一度突破90,000美元,但最終回落至87,600美元左右。其他主要山寨幣如XRP、以太坊、Solana和狗狗幣亦跟隨回調。CoinDesk 20指數(CD20)由早前亞洲時段的2,789回落至約2,726,回到早前水平。

這波下跌與納斯達克100指數期貨的走弱相呼應,截至發稿,納指期貨下跌約0.5%,顯示市場開盤氣氛謹慎。Wintermute指出,比特幣與納指呈現強烈正相關,尤其在納指下跌時更為明顯。

市場參與者亦趁機收縮槓桿倉位。Coinglass數據顯示,全球比特幣期貨未平倉合約由早前的54萬BTC降至約53.3萬BTC,反映投資者趨向謹慎。未平倉合約數量曾隨比特幣價格升至90,000美元而增加。

Laser Digital分析師指出,比特幣及以太坊在美國交易時段表現較差,過去一周均下跌超過3%,而亞洲時段則相對強勢。這種趨勢可能與年底稅務套現壓力有關,加密貨幣今年表現落後於其他全球資產。

另一方面,Elliott波浪理論專家及加密貸款公司Ledn首席投資官John Glover則看好比特幣中長線前景。他認為短期內價格或維持橫盤或小幅回落,並計劃在71,000至84,000美元區間加倉多單。

評論與啟示

比特幣價格的波動再次凸顯其與傳統科技股市場的高度聯動性,尤其是納斯達克指數。這種關聯性對於投資者來說既是機會也是風險,因為加密貨幣市場不再是孤立運行,而是深受全球資本市場情緒影響。這意味著,未來加密貨幣的價格走勢可能更多地反映宏觀經濟和股市動態,而非純粹的技術或生態系統發展。

此外,年底稅務套現壓力對市場的影響不容忽視。投資者在不同時區的行為差異,揭示了全球市場的複雜性與多樣性。亞洲時段的相對強勢或許反映了該區域投資者的風險偏好和策略不同,這對於市場參與者制定交易策略提供了重要參考。

最後,從長線投資角度看,像Glover這樣的專家建議逢低吸納,反映出市場仍有不少看好比特幣未來價值的資金。這種分層次的市場參與結構,既有短線的波動交易,也有長期的價值投資,將持續塑造加密貨幣市場的多元生態。

總結來說,投資者應密切關注全球宏觀經濟和股市走勢,靈活調整加密貨幣投資策略,同時警惕年底套現潮帶來的短期波動,才能在這個高度變動的市場中把握機遇。

以上文章由GPT API 所翻譯及撰寫。圖片由Google Gemini 根據內容自動生成。

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